Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 122142
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
442 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-131000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
442 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

...SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER LIKELY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
ALTHOUGH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL NOT BE EXTREMELY LOW...
STRONG GUSTY SOUTH WINDS AND VERY WARM CONDITIONS WILL CREATE
AN ELEVATED WILDFIRE DANGER FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON.
THE FIRE DANGER THREAT WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS ALTHOUGH GUSTY WINDS WILL LIKELY PERSIST OVERNIGHT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER...
HIGH WIND AND HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER AND HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER AND HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS AS A STRONG COLD FRONT
APPROACHES. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT
BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...AND A FEW OF THESE COULD BE STRONG TO
MARGINALLY SEVERE.

THE MAIN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL DEVELOP AFTER 300 PM...JUST WEST
OF THE AREA...NEAR THE COLD FRONT...DRY LINE INTERSECTION.  THESE
STORMS WILL QUICKLY BECOME SEVERE AS ACTIVITY MOVES INTO NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA BY LATE AFTERNOON. WHILE ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE
POSSIBLE...VERY LARGE HAIL IS EXPECTED IN THE STRONGER STORMS.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE BY EARLY SUNDAY
EVENING ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA ALONG THE FRONT...WITH STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS SWEEPING ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS DURING THE EVENING HOURS. LARGE HAIL WILL BE LIKELY...
WITH THE THREAT TRANSITIONING TO DAMAGING WINDS. THE SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT WILL END AROUND MIDNIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES EAST OF THE
AREA.

THE STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING MUCH COLDER WEATHER TO THE ENTIRE
AREA FOR MONDAY. A HARD FREEZE WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY MORNING FOR
PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. FREEZE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED IN SOME OF THESE AREAS.

DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL RETURN DURING THE WEEK
WITH INTERMITTENTLY WINDY CONDITIONS AND A DRY AIRMASS LINGERING
ACROSS THE REGION.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
SEVERE WEATHER IS LIKELY LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SPOTTER
GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS SHOULD PREPARE FOR ACTIVATION SUNDAY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
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