Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 162308
HWOTSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
508 PM CST Fri Feb 16 2018

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171130-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
508 PM CST Fri Feb 16 2018


This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Evening and Tonight.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...East Central Oklahoma into West Central Arkansas.
ONSET...After 9 PM.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Scattered light rain showers across Southeast Oklahoma late this
afternoon are expected to spread northward across Eastern Oklahoma
and Northwest Arkansas this evening and overnight. Forecast
rainfall amounts around a half inch with locally higher amounts
will be possible across East Central Oklahoma into West Central
Arkansas. Amounts generally up toward a half inch and less could
be possible over Northeast Oklahoma...far Southeast Oklahoma and
also far Northwest Arkansas tonight.

A limited fire weather danger will remain possible over parts of
Eastern Oklahoma through sunset and should begin to weaken this
evening as relative humidity values recover and rain chances
increase.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY...No Hazards.
SUNDAY...Very High Fire Weather Potential...High Wind Potential.
MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Very High Fire Weather Potential...
 High Wind Potential.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Winter Weather Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Winter Weather Potential.
THURSDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Gusty southerly winds return Sunday and continue Monday ahead of
a low pressure system and cold front forecast to move into the
region Monday and Tuesday. These winds combined with ongoing dry
conditions will help to increase fire weather concerns. Rain and
thunderstorm chances also look to increase Sunday through Tuesday
with the approaching storm system with the greater potential
Monday night and Tuesday as a cold front moves through the
region. There remains some uncertainty with the timing of the
colder air Tuesday. Depending on the timing of the exiting
precipitation and the arrival of the cold air...there could be a
window for light wintry precipitation Tuesday night into
Wednesday. Continue to monitor latest forecasts for updates.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$



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