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000
FLUS44 KTSA 111748
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1248 PM CDT TUE MAR 11 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-121000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1248 PM CDT TUE MAR 11 2014


...DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...NORTH AND WEST OF A LINE FROM MIAMI TO EUFAULA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...ALL EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTERNOON...INCREASING BEHIND COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EXTREME NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...EVENING.

DISCUSSION...
GUSTY SOUTH WINDS AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL RAISE FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS TODAY.
THE MOST PRONE AREA FOR AGGRESSIVE WILDFIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE ACROSS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...WHERE A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT.  TAKE
PRECAUTIONS TO AVOID ANY ACCIDENTAL FIRE STARTS.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...AND SWEEP THROUGH WESTERN ARKANSAS BY LATE EVENING.
VERY STRONG WINDS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...WITH FREQUENT WIND
GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH.  THE FRONT WILL PROVIDE A WIND SHIFT WHICH
COULD COMPLICATE ANY ONGOING FIRE FIGHTING EFFORTS.

FINALLY...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS EXTREME NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS IN VICINITY OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.
LIMITED INSTABILITY WILL REDUCE THE POTENTIAL FOR ANY SEVERE WEATHER.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
GUSTY NORTH WINDS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL ON WEDNESDAY.
DESPITE THE COOLER WEATHER...FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL AGAIN
BE A CONCERN GIVEN THE GUSTY WINDS AND LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITY VALUES.
TEMPERATURES WILL TREND WARMER FOR LATE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND...WITH
RAIN CHANCES INCREASING LATE SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$