Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 291831
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
131 PM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

.DISCUSSION...
upper level trough that has brought a sudden change in the wx
passing over NM today and the Panhandle tonight.  Sunday the low
will move northward across KS as high pressure slowly builds in from
the west as the region remains on the east side of a West Coast
trough.

Strong cold front blew through the area overnight.  Cold air
advection continuing today with unseasonably cold temperatures and a
gusty north wind.  Will continue previous trend of going toward the
colder side or below guidance for lows tonight.  Have inherited a
Freeze Watch for tonight from SE NM down to the Marfa Plateau and
Big Bend.  Based on latest guidance plan on dropping some of the
zones out of the watch since does not look like much of that area
will fall to freezing tonight.  Part of how cold it gets tonight
will depend on if it can get any warmth today.  Will upgrade
Northern Lea... Guadalupe and Davis Mtns... and Marfa Plateau to a
Freeze Warning tonight as expect these locations will reach freezing
and this will be the last freeze of the season.  Temperatures begin
to recover tomorrow afternoon with 80s returning by Monday.  Looking
at another cold front mid week.

As of 18z have a swath of light rain drifting across SE NM and the
Upper Trans Pecos.  Best chance of rain tonight will be NE Permian
Basin.  Could see a few thunderstorms but with the cold air not
expecting many.

Will continue the High Wind Warning for GDP tonight.  Have not seen
higher wind speeds develop yet across the southern counties except
for Terrell but they may kick in later today... will allow the
advisory to run its course.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     38  69  48  85 /  30  10   0   0
Carlsbad                       35  73  44  87 /  20   0   0   0
Dryden                         49  83  54  94 /  20  10   0   0
Fort Stockton                  38  73  53  90 /  10   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 33  66  51  80 /  10   0   0   0
Hobbs                          34  67  44  83 /  20  10   0   0
Marfa                          31  69  35  82 /  10   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           37  70  49  86 /  20  10   0   0
Odessa                         37  70  48  86 /  20  10   0   0
Wink                           37  74  46  89 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...Freeze Warning from 3 AM to 8 AM MDT Sunday for Guadalupe
     Mountains of Eddy County-Northern Lea County.

TX...High Wind Warning until 3 AM MDT Sunday for Guadalupe Mountains.

     Freeze Warning from 4 AM CDT /3 AM MDT/ to 9 AM CDT /8 AM MDT/
     Sunday for Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Guadalupe Mountains-
     Marfa Plateau.

     Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for Big Bend Area-
     Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Marfa Plateau-Presidio Valley.

&&

$$

12/72



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