Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FXUS62 KMFL 280858
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
358 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A SECOND COLD FRONT HAS FINALLY CLEARED SOUTH FLORIDA, AND IS
CURRENTLY OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS. THIS HAS BROUGHT A REINFORCING
SHOT OF COLDER AIR INTO THE AREA THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES AREA
RANGING FROM THE MID 40S IN THE INTERIOR TO THE MID 50S ALONG THE
COASTAL AREAS. SOME ADDITIONAL COOLING IS LIKELY BEFORE SUNRISE.
HIGHS WILL BE COOLER THAN YESTERDAY, WITH TEMPERATURES STRUGGLING
TO REACH MUCH ABOVE 70.

AFTER TODAY, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE BUILDING IN FROM THE NORTH.
THIS WILL GRADUALLY TURN THE WINDS TO THE NORTHEAST AND THEN EAST
BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A VERY GRADUAL
WARMING TREND THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK. IT WILL ALSO
ALLOW SOME MOISTURE TO WORK ITS WAY BACK INTO THE AREA. THIS WILL
CAUSE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SOME LIGHT SHOWERS OVER THE ATLANTIC
WATERS, WHICH COULD MAKE THEIR WAY ONSHORE. WHILE SOME SPRINKLES
MAY HAPPEN OVER THE COASTAL AREAS AND ATLANTIC WATERS THIS
WEEKEND, HAVE KEPT MENTION OF PRECIP OUT UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
BY MONDAY, THE SURFACE HIGH, THAT WAS CENTERED OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN US, WILL SLIDE EASTWARD. ALSO, A WEAK 500MB HIGH, TAT
WILL ALSO BE OVER THE AREA THIS WEEKEND, WILL WEAKEN AND PROGRESS
TO THE EAST AS WELL. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A SOMEWHAT BETTER CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS TO BE ABLE TO DEVELOP. HAVE KEPT SLIGHT CHANCE TO
CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST FROM MONDAY THROUGH THE END OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD. OTHERWISE, THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT SYSTEM TO
AFFECT SOUTH FLORIDA WEATHER THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK AT THIS
TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...
A DRY COLD FRONT MOVED THROUGH SOUTH FLORIDA THIS EVENING...AND
CLEAR SKIES WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS
AT 5-10 KNOTS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EASTWARD ON FRIDAY AND
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST BY MID AFTERNOON. A FEW SHOWERS
COULD OCCUR OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS...WITH AN INCREASE IN CLOUD
COVER (FEW-SCT 3-4KFT) FOR THE EAST COAST METRO AREAS.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD BEHIND A COLD FRONT THAT MOVED
THROUGH LAST NIGHT. THE WINDS BEHIND THIS FRONT HAVE CAUSED SEAS
TO BUILD. THE HIGHER SEAS AND WIND WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE
HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS FOR ALL SOUTH FLORIDA WATERS THIS
MORNING, INCLUDING FOR THE LAKE WATERS.

WINDS AND SEAS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE IN THE GULF AND LAKE BY EARLY
AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS LOOK TO PERSIST
INTO THE EVENING HOURS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN PLACE TO
REFLECT THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  69  60  74  66 /  10  10  10   0
FORT LAUDERDALE  70  61  75  68 /  10  10  10   0
MIAMI            71  61  75  67 /   0  10  10   0
NAPLES           66  52  75  59 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR AMZ650-651-
     670-671.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     AMZ610.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR GMZ656-
     657-676.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...13/SI
LONG TERM....13/SI
AVIATION...84/AK


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