National Weather Service Text Product Display

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 200319
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1019 PM CDT SAT APR 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...
CIRRUS SPREADING FARTHER EAST INTO THE REGION THIS EVENING SHOULD
HELP SLOW THE TEMPERATURE FALL FOR MOST AREAS. NEVERTHELESS...STILL
SEVERAL MORE DEGREES TO GO TO REACH OVERNIGHT MINIMUMS AND EXPECT
WE WILL ACHIEVE THEM AT MOST SITES BUT DID ADJUST TEMPS JUST A BIT
OVER PARTS OF E TX WHERE CIRRUS IS MORE DENSE ATTM AND TEMPS HAVE
ONLY MANAGED TO FALL INTO THE MID TO UPPER 60S AT TYR/LFK AS OF
03Z. ALSO TWEAKED THE SKY GRIDS TO BETTER ALIGN WITH CURRENT SKY
COVER AND EWRD EXPANSION OF CIRRUS. OTHERWISE...THE GOING FORECAST
IS IN GREAT SHAPE AND NO OTHER CHANGES ARE PLANNED. UPDATED
PRODUCTS HAVE ALREADY BEEN SENT. /19/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 636 PM CDT SAT APR 19 2014/

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE 00Z TAF PERIOD. THE SCT
CU FIELD IN PLACE LATE THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD DIMINISH BY EARLY TO
MID EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING...ALTHOUGH ADDITIONAL
REDEVELOPMENT CAN/T BE RULED OUT OVER EXTREME NE TX/SE OK/SW AR.
OTHERWISE...LOOK FOR A THICK CIRRUS SHIELD OVER E TX/SE OK TO
OVERSPREAD THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION THIS EVENING...AHEAD OF A
LARGE UPPER TROUGH DRIFTING E OVER THE DESERT SW. WHILE THIS
CIRRUS SHIELD MAY DIMINISH FROM W TO E SUNDAY MORNING...ADDITIONAL
CIRRUS COULD OVERSPREAD THE WRN HALF OF THE REGION SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...FROM CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPS OVER WCNTRL TX/WRN OK. A
SCT CU FIELD SHOULD ALSO DEVELOP BY LATE MORNING/MIDDAY AREAWIDE
WITH DIURNAL HEATING. THE SCT CONVECTION THAT DOES DEVELOP TO OUR
W SUNDAY SHOULD PROGRESS ENE INTO PORTIONS OF N TX/SRN OK THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON...BUT SHOULD REMAIN WELL W/NW OF THE TYR/TXK TERMINALS
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...AS THEY WEAKEN ONCE THEY ENCOUNTER A MORE
STABLE AIR MASS. LT SE OR LT/VRB WINDS TONIGHT WILL BECOME SSE
5-10KTS AFTER 15Z. /15/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  56  82  60  79  61 /  10  10  20  30  50
MLU  54  80  58  80  59 /  10  10  20  30  50
DEQ  53  78  58  77  56 /  10  20  30  50  50
TXK  55  78  59  78  59 /  10  10  30  50  50
ELD  52  80  58  77  57 /  10  10  20  50  50
TYR  59  80  61  79  62 /  10  10  30  40  50
GGG  57  81  60  80  60 /  10  10  20  40  50
LFK  58  81  59  81  62 /  10  10  20  20  40

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

19

National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office