869
FXUS64 KOHX 291808
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
108 PM CDT Wed May 29 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Friday)
Issued at 1200 PM CDT Wed May 29 2024

Beautiful and quite comfortable day for late May across the
midstate with partly to mostly cloudy skies, current temperatures
in the upper 60s and 70s, and pleasant dewpoints in the 50s. This
nice and quiet weather looks to continue through Friday thanks to
a surface high pressure ridge centered over the Great Lakes and
northwest flow aloft. Tonight will be quiet cool and almost chilly
in some areas as lows drop into the upper 40s on the Plateau and
low to mid 50s elsewhere. With light winds, mostly clear skies,
and low dewpoint depressions expected, some patchy fog is also
likely by sunrise. Thursday and Thursday night look to be a near
carbon-copy of today/tonight with highs in the 70s to low 80s,
lows in the upper 40s and 50s, and pleasant RH. Friday looks to be
a bit warmer as a weak upper ridge builds northward from the Gulf
Coast, with highs reaching the mid 70s to mid 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday Night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1200 PM CDT Wed May 29 2024

Our weather pattern becomes warmer, humid, and more unsettled
from Friday night through the rest of the forecast period as
upper flow becomes more amplified aloft and deeper gulf moisture
returns from the southwest. This should allow for widely
scattered and mainly diurnal showers and a few thunderstorms to
develop each day, a more typical summertime-like pattern, with
slight to chance pops warranted. Not seeing any notable signal
for potential strong or severe storms, but higher PWATs and
stronger wind fields early next week on the 12Z GFS might allow
for some stronger storms if those model trends continue. Rainfall
totals over the next 7 days will vary considerably across the
midstate, but in general a half inch to an inch is anticipated
for most locations. Temperatures will also warm well into the 80s
areawide throughout the extended period, with dewpoints also
increasing into the 60s/70s, making it quite humid outdoors.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 108 PM CDT Wed May 29 2024

VFR conditions will generally prevail thru 30/18Z. Exceptions
will be at SRB/CSV where MVFR/IFR fog could periodically prevail
30/09Z-30/13Z. Enough low to mid level moisture prevalence
expected to support scattered to potentially broken CU/AC fields
as diurnal influences persist thru 30/02Z or reinitiate around
30/15Z. Sustained sfc winds generally 8-12kts will slowly veer N
to NE and become light thru 30/18Z. Winds behind sfc cold frontal
passage could potentially gusts up to 25kts thru 30/02Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      56  81  57  83 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    53  78  54  81 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     48  74  49  76 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       54  80  55  83 /   0   0   0  10
Cookeville     51  74  52  78 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      49  74  49  77 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   53  79  54  82 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   53  80  54  83 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        55  79  57  82 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Shamburger
LONG TERM....Shamburger
AVIATION.....JB Wright