Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
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881 FXUS62 KMLB 190555 AFDMLB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 155 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024 ...New AVIATION... .AVIATION... (06Z TAFs) Issued at 143 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024 East winds will persist tonight with inland terminals 10-15 KT, and 15-20 KT with gusts around 25 KT at the coastal terminals. Quickly moving SHRA will continue to push onshore and inland through tonight, so have maintained VCSH for all terminals through the overnight. Easterly winds will persist on Wednesday, with speeds 15-20 KT and gusts 25-30 KT. Scattered SHRA will continue to push onshore, so have maintained VCSH for all terminals through Wednesday, with LEE-MCO-ISM ending VCSH around 02/03Z Thursday morning. Most models keep CIGs VFR through the TAF period, but occasional MVFR CIGs will still be possible in passing SHRA. && .UPDATE... Issued at 840 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024 The East winds will decrease some over the interior this evening and overnight but remain breezy/gusty along the coast with isolated to scattered showers pushing onshore and well inland. No lightning has occurred over land or the adjacent coastal waters but a couple strikes have been noted well offshore (beyond 60nm) so will keep the slight chance for thunder over the marine zones as well as coastal counties overnight. && .MARINE... Issued at 400 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024 Tonight...Hazardous boating conditions will continue as easterly winds 20-25 kt and occasional gusts of 30-35 kt. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for all of the adjacent waters through at least Thursday evening. Seas will continue to build, reaching 7-8 ft offshore north of Sebastian Inlet tonight and 6-7 ft nearshore. A stream of isolated to scattered showers is also forecast, with a very low probability of lightning strikes. Some of these showers could mix down locally higher wind gusts at times. Wednesday-Saturday (modified previous)...Poor to hazardous boating conditions will continue through late week as a weak trough approaches the Florida peninsula and southeast U.S. coast. Onshore flow will persist with winds generally 15-20 KT in the nearshore waters and 20-25 KT in the offshore waters through Thursday. Winds will decrease to around 10-15 KT by late week and into the weekend. Seas 6-8ft on Wednesday will increase to 7-9 ft on Thursday, before beginning to subside on Friday with seas decreasing to 4-6ft. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for all the Atlantic waters on Wednesday, and has been extended in time through at least Thursday evening. Scattered to numerous showers and isolated lightning storms will be possible each day. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 87 76 87 76 / 40 60 50 50 MCO 88 76 88 75 / 50 40 50 20 MLB 87 77 87 76 / 60 60 60 30 VRB 88 76 87 76 / 60 50 60 30 LEE 90 76 91 76 / 40 30 40 20 SFB 88 75 88 75 / 50 40 50 30 ORL 88 76 88 76 / 50 40 50 30 FPR 87 76 87 75 / 60 50 60 30 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Thursday for AMZ550-552-555- 570-572-575. && $$ UPDATE...Kelly AVIATION...Watson