Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
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557 FXUS62 KMLB 261810 AFDMLB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 210 PM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024 ...New AVIATION... .AVIATION... (18Z TAFs) Issued at 208 PM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024 TAFs begin with TEMPO TSRA groups this aftn/eve at most sites except for KLEE/KISM where VCTS is forecast. There`s less certainty in coverage at inland TAFs with collision between sea breeze/outflow from previous storms most likely to occur near and to the E of Orlando. S/SE winds at 5-8kts are forecast to the E of Orlando and W/SW to the W before backing offshore overnight. && .UPDATE... Issued at 959 AM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024 A few showers are ongoing across the Atlantic waters this morning, mainly south of Cape Canaveral, as well as across the west coast of Florida. Surface observations and satellite imagery show some low and high level clouds streaming across the Florida peninsula. The ridge axis is just to the south, across the Florida Straits, resulting in W/SW flow across the local area today. The east coast sea breeze is forecast to form once again today and move inland. The sea breeze/outflow collision is forecast to be around the I-95 corridor, where the highest rain and storm chances (PoPs 60 percent) occur. Shower and storm activity is then expected to push the activity back towards the coast through late afternoon and into the evening. Some of the CAMs indicate redevelopment west of I-95 will be possible late this afternoon as new outflow boundaries interact with the lagging west coast sea breeze. Much like the last few days, the main storm hazards today will be occasional to frequent lightning, heavy rainfall, and gusty winds up to 35 mph. Temperatures will be hot and muggy today with a Moderate to Major Heat Risk continuing today. Afternoon highs in the low to mid 90s with peak heat indices ranging from 102-106 degrees. Forecast remains on track with only minor updates to the rain and storm chances through tonight. && .MARINE... Issued at 359 AM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Today-Sunday...Seas around 2 ft gradually increase to 3 ft across the offshore waters Thursday and Friday as an onshore swell increases. Light offshore winds become onshore Saturday before developing a broad southerly component on Sunday. Winds back with the development of the east coast sea breeze each afternoon. A summertime pattern continues with high coverage of showers and storms forecast across the local waters (50-70%) each day. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 76 94 76 93 / 40 60 20 60 MCO 76 93 77 93 / 50 60 10 60 MLB 76 93 76 92 / 40 60 20 60 VRB 74 93 75 93 / 30 60 20 60 LEE 76 93 78 93 / 20 60 10 60 SFB 76 94 77 94 / 40 60 10 60 ORL 77 93 78 94 / 50 60 10 60 FPR 74 92 74 92 / 30 60 20 60 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. && $$ UPDATE...Watson AVIATION...Fehling