557
FXUS62 KMLB 261810
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
210 PM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 208 PM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024

TAFs begin with TEMPO TSRA groups this aftn/eve at most sites
except for KLEE/KISM where VCTS is forecast. There`s less
certainty in coverage at inland TAFs with collision between sea
breeze/outflow from previous storms most likely to occur near and
to the E of Orlando. S/SE winds at 5-8kts are forecast to the E
of Orlando and W/SW to the W before backing offshore overnight.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 959 AM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024

A few showers are ongoing across the Atlantic waters this morning,
mainly south of Cape Canaveral, as well as across the west coast
of Florida. Surface observations and satellite imagery show some
low and high level clouds streaming across the Florida peninsula.
The ridge axis is just to the south, across the Florida Straits,
resulting in W/SW flow across the local area today. The east coast
sea breeze is forecast to form once again today and move inland.
The sea breeze/outflow collision is forecast to be around the I-95
corridor, where the highest rain and storm chances (PoPs 60
percent) occur. Shower and storm activity is then expected to push
the activity back towards the coast through late afternoon and
into the evening. Some of the CAMs indicate redevelopment west of
I-95 will be possible late this afternoon as new outflow
boundaries interact with the lagging west coast sea breeze. Much
like the last few days, the main storm hazards today will be
occasional to frequent lightning, heavy rainfall, and gusty winds
up to 35 mph. Temperatures will be hot and muggy today with a
Moderate to Major Heat Risk continuing today. Afternoon highs in
the low to mid 90s with peak heat indices ranging from 102-106
degrees. Forecast remains on track with only minor updates to the
rain and storm chances through tonight.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 359 AM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024

Today-Sunday...Seas around 2 ft gradually increase to 3 ft across
the offshore waters Thursday and Friday as an onshore swell
increases. Light offshore winds become onshore Saturday before
developing a broad southerly component on Sunday. Winds back with
the development of the east coast sea breeze each afternoon. A
summertime pattern continues with high coverage of showers and
storms forecast across the local waters (50-70%) each day.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  76  94  76  93 /  40  60  20  60
MCO  76  93  77  93 /  50  60  10  60
MLB  76  93  76  92 /  40  60  20  60
VRB  74  93  75  93 /  30  60  20  60
LEE  76  93  78  93 /  20  60  10  60
SFB  76  94  77  94 /  40  60  10  60
ORL  77  93  78  94 /  50  60  10  60
FPR  74  92  74  92 /  30  60  20  60

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Watson
AVIATION...Fehling