401
FXUS63 KPAH 150825
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
325 AM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Hot and humid summer-like air hits by Sunday and continues
  through next week with heat indices in the upper 90`s to
  around 100 degrees. Isolated showers and thunderstorms could
  bring some relief to a few locations Monday through Wednesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 325 AM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024

Skies this morning are clear with temperatures in the 60`s to
lower 70`s. Drier air continues to slowly push south into the
region. Dewpoints in the upper 50`s to near 60 are observed
across southern IL, southwest IN, with lower 60`s elsewhere. An
easterly wind today will continue to keep dewpoints lower, with
the exception of parts of SEMO where dewpoints may still
approach 70 degrees. This should bring some relief while
temperatures still top out in the upper 80`s to lower 90`s.

Ridging aloft will remain in place across the eastern US late
this weekend through much of next week. Daily highs will stay
in the upper 80`s to low/mid 90`s. The warmest day continues to
be Sunday where highs are forecast in the mid to upper 90`s.
Southerly low level flow will also begin to bring in higher
dewpoints meaning heat indices will start to climb back up to
near 100 degrees. An isolated shower or storm is possible Sunday
afternoon across western Kentucky. Chances of rain increase
next week especially Monday and Tuesday when guidance suggests a
few weaknesses in the western periphery of the ridge develop
along with increasing 850mb flow and moisture advection. The
ridge begins to elongate and push westward Wednesday leading to
increasing heights and likely lower rain chances mid to late
week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1109 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Skies will be mostly clear through the TAF period, aside from
a little bit of high cloud and cu development based around 5kft
during the day tomorrow. Light winds tonight will become
easterly around 5-7 kts tomorrow.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...AD
AVIATION...SP