Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
821 FNUS52 KILM 220644 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 244 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024 .DISCUSSION... High pressure sfc and aloft will dominate this weekend and into the middle of next week. A mid-level impulse will pass just north of the area today dragging a backdoor cold front across the area late tonight into Mon. Pcpn to remain isolated across the region today into tonight. Otherwise looking at dry conditions and above normal temps today, dropping back to near normal Mon thru Wed. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight is Moderate. NCZ105>110-222245- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 244 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024 Today Tonight Mon Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 Precip Type None None None LAL 2 2 1 Max/Min Temp 87 65 84 Min/Max RH (%) 60 100 65 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var E 4 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration Precip Begin Precip End Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/1000 1800 72/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 3800 3800 Transport Wind (mph) SW 10 E 9 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 38000 34200 ADI Early 22 Fair 10 Poor 25 Fair ADI Late 39 Fair 4 Very Poor 36 Fair Max LVORI Early 7 6 8 Max LVORI Late 3 6 3 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent. Light winds. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 78 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. $$ NCZ096-099-222245- Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 244 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024 Today Tonight Mon Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 Precip Type None None None LAL 2 2 1 Max/Min Temp 88 66 85 Min/Max RH (%) 58 100 63 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration Precip Begin Precip End Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/1000 1900 72/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 4 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4100 3700 Transport Wind (mph) W 9 SE 8 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 36900 29600 ADI Early 24 Fair 11 Poor 23 Fair ADI Late 45 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 38 Fair Max LVORI Early 7 6 9 Max LVORI Late 3 7 3 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Light winds. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. $$ NCZ087-222245- Robeson- Including the city of Lumberton 244 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024 Today Tonight Mon Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 Precip Type None None None LAL 2 1 1 Max/Min Temp 88 67 85 Min/Max RH (%) 56 100 65 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 4 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration Precip Begin Precip End Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/1000 1900 72/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 4 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 3500 Transport Wind (mph) NW 8 SE 9 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 35200 31500 ADI Early 31 Fair 13 Gen Poor 21 Fair ADI Late 42 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 35 Fair Max LVORI Early 6 6 8 Max LVORI Late 3 6 3 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 75 percent. East winds around 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. East winds around 10 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-222245- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 244 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024 Today Tonight Mon Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 Precip Type None None None LAL 2 2 1 Max/Min Temp 88 67 87 Min/Max RH (%) 56 99 62 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 4 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration Precip Begin Precip End Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/1000 1900 76/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 4 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 4300 Transport Wind (mph) SW 10 SE 9 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 46000 38700 ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 17 Gen Poor 22 Fair ADI Late 47 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 39 Fair Max LVORI Early 8 5 8 Max LVORI Late 3 6 3 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Light winds. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 97 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 82 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ032-033-039-222245- Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 244 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024 Today Tonight Mon Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 Precip Type None None None LAL 2 2 1 Max/Min Temp 89 66 88 Min/Max RH (%) 50 100 57 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration Precip Begin Precip End Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/1000 1900 75/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 4 4 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5000 4400 Transport Wind (mph) W 10 S 8 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 50000 35200 ADI Early 26 Fair 17 Gen Poor 22 Fair ADI Late 55 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 42 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 7 6 9 Max LVORI Late 2 7 3 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 79 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent. East winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-222245- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon 244 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024 Today Tonight Mon Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 Precip Type None None None LAL 2 1 1 Max/Min Temp 89 67 86 Min/Max RH (%) 53 100 62 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration Precip Begin Precip End Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/1000 1900 73/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 4 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 3900 Transport Wind (mph) NW 8 SE 9 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 39200 35100 ADI Early 30 Fair 12 Poor 21 Fair ADI Late 44 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 39 Fair Max LVORI Early 6 6 9 Max LVORI Late 3 7 3 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 78 percent. East winds around 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. East winds around 10 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...dch