325
FXUS63 KMPX 222322
AFDMPX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
622 PM CDT Sun Sep 22 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A gradual warming trend through the week with little chance
  for rain.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 316 PM CDT Sun Sep 22 2024

A much cooler and drier airmass has pushed in across the Upper
Midwest with rain remaining well southeast across the mid
Missouri Valley and Great Lakes. The cool and dry airmass will
set up a rather chilly night by this month`s standards so far
but not too much below normal for this time of year. Lows in the
40s are expected, with some upper 30s possible in WI and
central MN.

As the pattern shifts to a warmer one later in the week, a
preceding trough could bring a few showers to southwestern MN
Monday night and Tuesday morning. Otherwise, no precipitation is
expected through Friday. The trough passing through early in the
week will become a cutoff low over the southeastern U.S. and
result in an Omega block across the CONUS. The Upper Midwest
will be situated under anomalously high heights with the ridge
axis extending well north into central and northern Canada.
Highs will increase a bit each day, to possibly the low 80s late
week. The upper low and a likely strengthening tropical system
in the Gulf will interact and eventually merge somewhere over
the southeastern quadrant of the country which could spread some
showers north to our region next weekend. For now only slight
chc PoPs make a return to the forecast.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 612 PM CDT Sun Sep 22 2024

Another quiet period with VFR SKC/FEW250 and light winds.
VRB03kt winds expected overnight before becoming mainly 150-180
at around 5-8kts by Monday afternoon.

KMSP...No additional concerns.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
TUE...VFR. Wind S 5kts.
WED...VFR. Wind NW 5kts.
THU...VFR. Wind SE 5kts.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Borghoff
AVIATION...TDH