Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
591 FXUS64 KCRP 030051 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 651 PM CST Tue Dec 2 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 643 PM CST Tue Dec 2 2025 - Low to medium rain chances (30-60%) Wednesday through Friday, with greatest widespread chances on Thursday as a cold front pushes through - Full moon and northeasterly flow stretches raises concern for potential minor coastal flooding later this week && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1103 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025 We will begin the period under the influence of a ridge that has moved into place over the region. This will allow for calmer conditions over the region. We will see chilly temperatures once again tonight though with onshore flow returning to the region we should see a slightly warmer temperatures tomorrow! Another cold front will be expected on Thursday, though this one will not be as strong as the last it will drop temps back into the 50s and 60s Friday. Lows Thursday night and Friday night have about a medium chance of dropping into the upper 30s once again. It`ll definitely be worth monitoring as we progress later in the week. Ahead of the front will be some lower rain chances across the Coastal Bend and Victoria Crossroads with the due to isentropic lift at the 295 level and passing shortwave passing through the region. Showers and potentially some thunderstorms (mainly offshore) will be possible as this cold front tracks into South Texas combining with a coastal trough. This will bring above normal moisture into the region and given the lift provided with these features should support favorable rain chances across the Brush Country to the Victoria Crossroads and over the Gulf Waters. As previously mentioned, the environment isn`t super conducive for thunderstorms except for offshore and potentially along the front as it track into the region. Will continue to monitor the potential for minor coastal flooding later this week. Signals are still remaining steady in P-ETSS with tide levels reaching 1.8 MSL due to moderate to strong northeasterly flow and swell periods around 6-7 seconds through the weekend. These factors will combine with the expected full moon which would enhance the possibility. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 643 PM CST Tue Dec 2 2025 Mostly VFR conditions will prevail through the night at area terminals, before cloud coverage increases Wednesday morning with ceilings falling to MVFR/IFR levels across the eastern sites. Out west, VFR conditions will persist through the cycle. There is a low 20-30% chance of rain showers Wednesday afternoon, potentially affecting the VCT site. However, due to the low confidence on timing and location will hold off on adding it into the TAFs for now. Winds will generally be light and variable at all sites. && .MARINE... Issued at 1103 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025 Winds have diminished to a gentle to moderate breeze (BF 3-4) later this afternoon, shifting onshore Wednesday morning. Another cold front is expected to push through Thursday morning, bringing another wave of fresh to strong northeasterly flow in the wake through Thursday night. This will likely warrant a Small Craft Advisory. Winds weaken to gentle to moderate heading into the weekend, with wind direction varying. Moderate rain chances Wednesday will increase to medium to high, 60-90%, Thursday through Friday. Low rain chances linger through Saturday. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1103 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025 Elevated fire weather conditions are not expected through early next week. Winds will remain light to moderate inland, predominately out of the north to northeast. Minimum relative humidity may briefly drop below 30% this afternoon over the Brush Country but winds will be very light. Every afternoon into early next week is expected to have minimum relative humidity above 30%. Low to medium rain chances Wednesday through Friday, with greatest chances over the Coastal Bend and Victoria Crossroads. Brief onshore flow returns Wednesday before another cold front pushes through Thursday, then another early next week. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 45 67 59 67 / 0 30 40 50 Victoria 38 66 54 62 / 0 30 70 60 Laredo 47 72 59 66 / 0 10 10 40 Alice 42 67 56 66 / 0 10 20 40 Rockport 50 70 58 67 / 0 40 70 60 Cotulla 41 68 54 61 / 0 0 20 40 Kingsville 44 68 58 68 / 0 20 20 40 Navy Corpus 52 71 63 68 / 0 40 60 60 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...NP/92 AVIATION...ANM/88