Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
292 FXUS64 KFWD 101747 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1247 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025 ...New Short Term, Long Term, Aviation... .KEY MESSAGES... - An elevated grass fire threat will be present for areas near and west of I-35 on Sunday. - Warm and rain-free weather will continue into next week with temperatures 5 to 15 degrees above normal. && .SHORT TERM... /NEW/ /Today and Tomorrow/ Mid-level ridging remains the controlling feature over North and Central Texas today, keeping the area rain-free with another unseasonably warm afternoon expected. Highs are on track to reach the mid to upper 80s with a few readings in the lower 90s possible in both the Big Country and the Hill Country. Skies will stay mostly clear with modest easterly to southeasterly winds becoming light and variable this evening. Overnight, temperatures will settle into the mid to upper 50s with low to mid 60s across the DFW Urban Heat Island and in other metro areas across the region. With no significant change in the weather pattern over the next 24 hours (and beyond), similar conditions are expected on Saturday with clear skies and abnormally warm October temperatures. 12 && .LONG TERM... /NEW/ /Saturday Night through Next Week/ The ridge will linger over the region late weekend through much of the next week, warranting a mostly persistence forecast with abnormally warm temperatures and no appreciable chances for rain through at least the next 10 days. The only departure from this pattern will be the slight tightening in the surface pressure gradient expected to occur on Sunday, resulting from the mid-level trough advancing across the western U.S. and the corresponding lee low developing over the Plains. The blend of breezy south winds, warm temperatures, and lowered afternoon RH may support an elevated grass fire threat emerging west of the I-35 corridor during the afternoon. 12 && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /18Z TAFs/ VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals through the period. Light easterly to southeasterly winds will trend light and variable this evening, then becoming more southerly Saturday morning, with speeds generally below 8 kt. Skies will remain SKC to FEW with no CIG or VIS restrictions and no convection. 12 && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 87 64 89 66 90 / 0 0 0 0 0 Waco 87 59 87 61 88 / 0 0 0 0 0 Paris 83 59 86 61 87 / 0 0 0 0 0 Denton 86 58 88 61 90 / 0 0 0 0 0 McKinney 86 59 88 62 90 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dallas 87 64 90 67 90 / 0 0 0 0 0 Terrell 86 58 88 61 90 / 0 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 88 61 89 64 91 / 0 0 0 0 0 Temple 88 58 89 59 90 / 0 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 89 58 91 60 91 / 0 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$