095
FXUS64 KFWD 270008
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
608 PM CST Mon Jan 26 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Widespread hazardous travel impacts due to sub-freezing
  temperatures and ice, sleet, and snow on roads will continue
  through Tuesday.

- Life-threatening cold wind chills as low as 5 below zero through
  Tuesday morning will result in hypothermia and frostbite if
  precautions are not taken.

- Patchy freezing fog is possible tonight and again Tuesday night
  which could cause light ice accumulations.

- Below normal temperatures will persist through the next 7 days,
  but no additional precipitation is expected through the
  weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Tuesday night)
Issued at 111 PM CST Mon Jan 26 2026

After some morning cloud cover across North and Central Texas,
full sunshine is now prevalent which has allowed temperatures to
already warm into the low 20s north to around 30. The combination
of warmer temps and solar radiation will allow for considerable
melting of the ice, sleet, and snow on roads and buildings. Some
locations in Central Texas may even rise just above freezing this
afternoon, which will aid in further melting. However, any melting
will refreeze tonight as lows drop into the single digits and
teens once again - so any improvements in road conditions today
will worsen again tonight. We could also see some patchy freezing
fog tonight mainly across North Texas, but no notable ice
accumulation should occur.

After the chilly start tomorrow, an even warmer day is
anticipated with highs finally rising well above freezing and
reaching the mid 30s to mid 40s. This should really help kick the
melting process into high gear, although one fly in the ointment
is the thick high clouds anticipated that could slow it down.
Unfortunately, any remaining water or ice on roads will refreeze
once again Tuesday night into Wednesday morning as lows drop into
the mid 10s to low 20s. In addition, guidance is strongly
indicating potential for freezing fog across North Texas as
southerly winds bring higher dewpoints into the area, which could
lead to light ice accumulations on elevated surfaces and possibly
some roads. A weak front is expected to move through North Texas
towards sunrise on Wednesday morning, which will likely help
dissipate any fog that forms.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 111 PM CST Mon Jan 26 2026

Warmer temperatures are anticipated for Wednesday and Thursday as
a weak upper ridge builds across Texas. Highs will reach the
upper 30s and 40s on Wednesday and mid 40s to mid 50s on Thursday.
Another Arctic cold front is expected push across North and
Central Texas on Thursday night into early Friday, bringing
another round of much colder temperatures for the weekend. Lows
look to drop into the upper single digits and 10s on Friday night
and 10s to around 20 on Saturday night, with highs only in the
30s. Thankfully, precipitation is no longer anticipated with this
front as models are all now dry. A significant warmup will begin
on Sunday and continue into early next week as a larger upper
ridge builds over the western conus, with highs back into the
50s/60s by Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 605 PM CST Mon Jan 26 2026

VFR will prevail through the TAF period at all North and Central
Texas terminals. Light southwesterly winds AOB 6 kts this evening
will veer more southerly overnight and into Tuesday. Speeds will
increase slightly by late morning but should generally be 10 kts
or less through the end of the period. Skies will remain mostly
clear aside from some passing high clouds. While patchy freezing
fog may develop northwest of the Metroplex toward daybreak,
confidence in any terminal impacts remains too low for inclusion
at AFW or other sites at this time.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1049 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    15  41  22  41 /   0   0   0   0
Waco                14  41  20  43 /   0   0   0   0
Paris               11  36  18  42 /   0   0   0   0
Denton               9  41  16  42 /   0   0   0   0
McKinney            11  39  18  41 /   0   0   0   0
Dallas              15  39  23  42 /   0   0   0   0
Terrell             11  40  18  42 /   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           17  43  21  45 /   0   0   0   0
Temple              14  45  20  47 /   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells        9  44  16  43 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Extreme Cold Warning until 9 AM CST Tuesday for TXZ091>095-
100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Shamburger
LONG TERM....Shamburger
AVIATION...12