Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
368 FXUS64 KFWD 012311 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 511 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - A warming trend will continue into Monday, with high temperatures returning to the 50s and 60s. - A cold front will bring low rain chances to the region on Tuesday, mainly for areas east of I-35. - Following a cooler day on Wednesday, another warming trend is expected late week, with above normal temperatures returning to the region. && .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Monday) Issued at 1110 AM CST Sun Feb 1 2026 A cool day is on tap across the region, though it`ll be much warmer than yesterday. High temperatures will range from the mid 40s across our northeastern zones to low 60s across the Big Country. The return of southerly winds and shortwave ridging aloft will allow a warming trend to continue into Monday. Following a chilly morning in the 30s, afternoon temperatures will climb into the 60s and even low 70s Monday afternoon. Mostly sunny skies are expected much of the day, but cloud cover will begin to increase late Monday afternoon as moisture surges northward ahead of a shortwave trough as it approaches out of northern Mexico and the Trans Pecos. && .LONG TERM... (Monday night through next Saturday) Issued at 1110 AM CST Sun Feb 1 2026 Isolated showers are expected to develop Monday night as the aforementioned shortwave moves overhead. Showers will become more scattered in coverage heading into Tuesday morning as a cold front approaches from the north. The front will move through the area throughout the day, with chances for showers expected to continue ahead of the front for areas east of I-35. As drier air moves into the region during the afternoon, rain chances will gradually be shunted to our south and east. Cooler temperatures will briefly return to the region in the wake of the cold front, but a significant cool-down is not expected. The return of west/southwest winds and ridging aloft will result in a warming trend late in the week. Above normal temperatures will return to the region with afternoon highs in the 60s and low 70s through the weekend. No rain chances are expected beyond Tuesday. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 509 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026 VFR will prevail through the period with south winds 5-10 kt overnight increasing to around 15 kt during the day Monday. We`ll start to see an increase in high cloud cover through the day Monday with MVFR cigs expected to return late Monday night just beyond the current TAF period. Until then, no significant aviation concerns are expected. Dunn && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 35 67 50 62 / 0 0 10 10 Waco 35 67 55 66 / 0 0 10 10 Paris 30 62 47 60 / 0 0 20 30 Denton 30 65 44 60 / 0 0 10 10 McKinney 32 65 48 60 / 0 0 10 20 Dallas 37 67 52 63 / 0 0 10 10 Terrell 32 66 51 62 / 0 0 10 30 Corsicana 36 68 53 67 / 0 0 10 30 Temple 34 68 53 67 / 0 0 10 10 Mineral Wells 32 70 45 63 / 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Barnes LONG TERM....Barnes AVIATION...Dunn