Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
910 FXUS64 KFWD 311800 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1200 PM CST Sat Jan 31 2026 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Much colder temperatures and frigid wind chills are expected today. - A warm up will occur Sunday through early next week, with rain chances returning to areas along and east of the I-35 corridor on Tuesday. && .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Sunday) Issued at 1155 AM CST Sat Jan 31 2026 It`s been a rather frigid morning across the region in the wake of last night`s cold front. Temperatures are currently in the low to mid 20s in North Texas and in the upper 20s to mid 30s in Central Texas. A cold afternoon is expected, with highs only topping out in the 30s for most areas under mostly sunny skies. Fortunately, the breezy winds this morning are on a weakening trend, with wind speeds decreasing to 5 to 10 mph this afternoon. Another cold night is on tap for the region, with overnight lows dropping into the upper teens to mid 20s areawide. Southerly winds will return overnight, allowing temperatures to moderate on Sunday. Afternoon highs will be quite a bit warmer, topping out in the upper 40s across eastern North and Central Texas to low 60s across the Big Country. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday night through next Friday) Issued at 1155 AM CST Sat Jan 31 2026 A brief warming trend will continue on Monday, with afternoon temperatures returning to the 60s areawide. An upper level trough will dig into the Southern Plains/Midwest on Tuesday, which will usher a surface low towards the Mississippi Valley. Its attendant cold front will sweep through the region Tuesday morning through the afternoon. Isolated to scattered showers and perhaps a couple thunderstorms are expected to develop ahead of the front, mainly east of the I-35/35E corridor. Rain chances will end from north to south with the arrival of the front during the afternoon. Severe weather is not expected. Slightly cooler temperatures will filter into the region behind the front through mid-week, but a significant cool-down is not expected with this front. Afternoon highs will be in the 50s and 60s Tuesday and Wednesday. Most of the effects of the cold front will likely be felt during the morning hours, with a couple of chilly mornings in the upper 20s and 30s on Wednesday and Thursday. Another warming trend will close out the work week Thursday and Friday, with afternoon temperatures returning to the 60s and 70s. There will be no chances for rain beyond Tuesday. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1155 AM CST Sat Jan 31 2026 VFR conditions will continue through the period. North winds will prevail through this evening, but wind speeds will be on a gradual decline, decreasing to 5 knots or less around 00Z this evening. Light winds will continue overnight and may be a bit variable at times before they eventually switch out of the southeast around or after 06Z. South winds will increase to 5 to 10 knots after 12Z Sunday morning, with winds becoming slightly more southwesterly Sunday afternoon. && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 24 54 36 66 / 0 0 0 0 Waco 24 54 34 65 / 0 0 0 0 Paris 21 47 30 61 / 10 0 0 0 Denton 19 53 30 64 / 0 0 0 0 McKinney 21 52 32 64 / 0 0 0 0 Dallas 24 54 37 67 / 0 0 0 0 Terrell 21 52 32 66 / 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 24 54 36 68 / 0 0 0 0 Temple 21 57 34 67 / 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 21 59 32 69 / 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Barnes LONG TERM....Barnes AVIATION...Barnes