933
FXUS63 KGLD 130445
AFDGLD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
945 PM MST Wed Nov 12 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Continued dry forecast through the remainder of the work week.

- Gradual warming temperature trend through the work week. Near
  record to record highs possible Thursday and Friday.

- Multiple chances at precipitation next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 100 PM MST Wed Nov 12 2025

An upper ridge will remain nearly stationary over the Rockies
and adjacent plains as it gradually amplifies through Friday.
This will result in mild temperatures and dry conditions. Highs
will be in the 70s with lows mainly in the 40s. Winds will be
light to occasionally breezy. A cold front associated with a
shortwave trough moving through the northern plains will move
through Friday night. No precipitation is expected with the
front. There may be a few hours of breezy to windy conditions
Saturday morning behind the front with northerly winds gusting
30 to 40 mph, diminishing Saturday afternoon. Temperatures on
Saturday will be slightly cooler with highs in the upper 60s to
lower 70s and lows Saturday night in the 30s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 100 PM MST Wed Nov 12 2025

Will see on more day of ridging on Sunday with temperatures in
the 60s and breezy southeast winds. An upper low will eject out
of the Four Corners region Sunday night and into the northern
Rockies and plains on Monday. Model consistency and run-to-run
continuity are poor. The general trend today is that most of
the energy with this system will pass just north of the area,
with dry slotting on the southern side potentially limiting
precipitation chances. However, the GFS now suggesting a
secondary low potentially cutting off in northeast Colorado
which would bring better precipitation chances, but confidence
in that solution is low. Temperatures still supportive of rain
as opposed to snow with whatever precipitation does fall.
Tuesday and Wednesday will be cooler with highs in the 40s and
50s with perhaps a few light showers ahead of the next system
organizing in the desert southwest for late in the week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 944 PM MST Wed Nov 12 2025

VFR conditions remain forecasted for each terminal for this TAF
period. Some LLWS is occurring ahead of a surface trough that
will shift winds to the northwest. These northwest winds are
forecast to continue through the day Thursday before backing to
the southwest again. An increase in mid to upper level cirrus
will occur overnight and lingering through the morning hours
Thursday.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
CO...None.
NE...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...024
LONG TERM...024
AVIATION...Trigg