Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
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237 FXUS61 KILN 010000 AFDILN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington OH 800 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2024 .SYNOPSIS... In the wake of a cold front passing through overnight, sky cover will clear and temperatures will return to near or just above normal through the weekend. Temperatures will rise next week as a warm front passes to the northeast on Sunday, along with a chance of rain. The next cold front should cross late Tuesday and mark a cooling after the next round of rain associated with the front. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/... Rain will end from west-east tonight in favor of dry conditions and mostly sunny skies on Friday. The last of any rainfall associated with a fine line should be east of the I-71 corridor by midnight, exiting southeastern CWA by 2 AM. Lows tonight will drop to the lower 40s northwest of I-71 and upper 40s to around 50 in the southeast. Cincy and Columbus metro areas will be slightly warmer in the mid 40s. && .SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/... High pressure northwest of the CWA will move east, laying out over MI Friday night. North winds during the day will advect more normal temperatures, though mid 50s in the northwest to lower 60s in the southeast will definitely feel like quite a cool down. Clear skies will abound, and the high will extend further south into Ohio overnight Friday. Lighter northeast wind around 5 mph with the clear sky cover will combine to see overnight lows drop to the mid 30s. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... For the period Saturday into Saturday night, high pressure across the Great Lakes will move east into southeast Canada/New England. Mostly sunny skies on Saturday will give way to increasing clouds from the west Saturday night. After highs in the lower to mid 60s, lows will range from the upper 30s northeast to the mid 40s south and southwest. Strong mid level ridging will once again occur over the southeast U.S., and will extend northward into the Ohio Valley during the beginning of the new week. As this occurs, a warm front will push northeast through the region Sunday into Sunday night, bringing clouds and the threat for showers. The highest chance will be over our northwest zones. This will be the start of a warmer and more humid air mass. Highs in the mid 60s to the lower 70s on Sunday will only fall into the 50s for Sunday night. Our region will remain on the periphery of the strong mid level ridge for Monday into the first part of Tuesday. Some embedded disturbances may ripple through this periphery with the chance of showers staying in the forecast, but mostly for our northwest region. It will be unseasonably warm with near record or record highs possible Monday and Tuesday. Highs in the 70s both days with lows remaining very warm in the 50s to lower 60s. By Tuesday night into Wednesday, the strong mid level ridge shifts east and flattens as mid level energy moves into the Great Lakes. This will bring a cold front east into our region, along with better chances for showers. It will trend cooler. Lows in the upper 40s northwest to the upper 50s southeast will rise into the 60s. Drier weather is expected by Wednesday night into Thursday as high pressure returns. Lows in the 30s and 40s will rise into the 50s and lower 60s on Thursday (more closer to climate normals). && .AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... Off and on rain showers and wind gusts will continue through the first half of the night. A cold front will move through overnight and precipitation will come to an end. There will be a period overnight where MVFR cigs will be possible before starting to decrease in coverage. CAA cu will be possible for Friday. OUTLOOK...Wind gusts possible Monday and Tuesday. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Franks NEAR TERM...Franks SHORT TERM...Franks LONG TERM...Hickman AVIATION...