230
FXUS63 KPAH 091746
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1146 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Warmer, near normal temperatures can be expected today into
  Wednesday, along with breezy conditions.

- The passage of a several weak weather systems will bring very
  small chances of light showers/sprinkles and light
  snow/flurries to mainly eastern portions of our region late
  tonight into Wednesday morning, Thursday into Thursday night,
  and Saturday afternoon/evening.

- Much colder air will spread across the region over the
  weekend, with temperatures remaining below normal into early
  next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 158 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

A return of southerly winds will bring much warmer conditions today
into Wednesday. It will become breezy today as the pressure
gradient tightens across our region between high pressure to
our southeast and low pressure over the upper Mississippi
Valley. South winds will increase to 12-25 mph with gusts of 25
mph to around 30 mph by this afternoon, persisting into tonight
and shifting to the west and northwest Wednesday with the
passage of a cold front. Small chances of light rain will
accompany the cold front late tonight into Wednesday morning
mainly from southwest Indiana into the Pennyrile region.

Models show a warm front lifting into our area Thursday, then
low pressure moving along the front Thursday night into Friday.
A few sprinkles or flurries are possible along Interstate 64
and across southwest Indiana Thursday into Thursday night. High
temperatures Thursday will be colder, then we will see a brief
warm up Thursday night and Friday until the surface low pushes
on through our area. Behind the low, we will see a significant
cool down for Saturday, then another cold front will move
through our region Saturday afternoon into Saturday night. Small
chances of light rain and/or snow will accompany this cold
front, but any amounts will be minimal. The coldest air will
follow this front, and lows Saturday night and Sunday night
will be in the 10 to 20 degree range, with minimum wind chills
of near 0 to around 10 degrees.

The model blend brings small precipitation chances back to the
forecast Monday. There is quite a bit of variation in timing of
this system between individual models, so confidence is low at
this time. Temperatures will remain below normal.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1146 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

Rogue IFR and low MVFR ceilings will impact KCGI for much of the
afternoon, and may persist through the night. Satellite imagery
indicates that clearing is in process at KPAH, so any impact
there will be brief.

Southwest winds will increase through the afternoon with gusts
20-25kts expected at all sites, with the possible exception of
KCGI if the ceilings do persist. Those winds will continue
tonight and will increase with some gusts to 30kts possible.

A quick shot of light rain will be possible across the north
08Z-14Z. MVFR ceilings could accompany it. MVFR and lower VFR
ceilings are expected after sunrise at all locations. Winds will
continue to gust 20-30kts through the morning as they veer to
west and eventually northwest by the end of the period.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...DWS
DISCUSSION...RST
AVIATION...DRS