Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
176 FXUS62 KTBW 150608 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 108 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... - There is a chance of patchy ground fog across the area this morning - Quiet, dry and warm conditions continue through the weekend. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1259 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025 A quiet stretch of weather expected through the weekend thanks to an upper level ridge and surface high over FL. Main concern for the next few mornings will be patchy fog. Light winds, surface moisture and clear skies will keep patchy fog in the forecast, especially along the nature coast and areas prone to fog for the next couple of mornings. A weak front moves over north Florida Monday before sinking over central FLorida Tuesday and becoming stationary. The added moisture could lead to some isolated showers Tuesday, though chances remain very low (10% or less). A slightly stronger front moves towards Florida by next weekend, once again bringing a slight chance of showers to the area. Temperatures remain steady through the period with lows in the 50s-60s and highs in the 70s-low to mid 80s. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1259 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025 VFR conditions prevail through most of the period with the only concern being patchy fog that could move over terminals early in the morning. However, fog should be lifted by mid morning. Light NE winds shift onshore in the afternoon as a weak sea breeze develops. && .MARINE... Issued at 1259 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025 High pressure over the area will keep marine concerns at bay. Light winds and dry conditions will make for pleasant boating conditions through the weekend. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1259 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025 Fire weather concerns remain limited, though dry air remains over the area. RH values will continue to be above critical and winds continue to be light. Some patchy fog could develop early Sunday morning, but should lift by mid morning. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 80 61 79 63 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 81 60 80 62 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 81 57 81 59 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 79 59 78 63 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 80 51 78 57 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 78 63 77 66 / 0 0 0 0 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$ DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Pearce DECISION SUPPORT...Fleming