Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
888 FXUS64 KBMX 080627 AFDBMX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 127 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Thursday) Issued at 126 AM CDT WED OCT 8 2025 Some patchy fog is possible this morning, especially in areas that received rain yesterday. This should mix out after sunrise. Low clouds are likely to build in as well, with ceiling gradually lifting after midday and into the afternoon hours. A cold front will work through the area today, with a 20-30% rain chance across southern and southeastern counties that should end by sunset. Rain chances are near zero for areas north of I-20. Cooler, drier air will build in behind the front, bringing another taste of fall to Central Alabama by Thursday. Highs in the mid 70s to low 80s with dewpoints in the upper 50s to low 60s should make for a pleasant day across the region. The far southeastern areas south of U.S. 80 between Montgomery and Georgia have a slight chance at a shower or two during the afternoon, but impact will be minimal. 12 && .LONG TERM... (Thursday night through next Tuesday) Issued at 126 AM CDT WED OCT 8 2025 A gradual warmup is expected Friday through Tuesday, with widespread 70s on Friday becoming low to mid 80s by Tuesday. Dewpoints are currently forecast to stay in the 50s to maybe 60 each day, which will still keep the "refreshing" feel outside. As of this forecast cycle, no rain is in the forecast for Central Alabama from Friday through mid-next week. With little relief in sight from a rainfall standpoint, drought and fire danger is likely to continue, if not worsen, through next week. 12 && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1232 AM CDT WED OCT 8 2025 A few showers are possible overnight but impacts to terminals should be minimal. However, MVFR cigs are likely to develop at all sites early in the morning, potentially lasting until midday. ASN and MGM received rainfall earlier today, so have added a TEMPO for reduced vis at MGM 09-12z and prevailing at ASN 09-14z. For the afternoon, added PROB30 for SHRA for MGM and AUO as a cold front sinks south. 12 && .FIRE WEATHER... Isolated shower chances with a few thunderstorms are forecast today and tomorrow, however, widespread wetting rainfall is not expected and rain amounts will be too light to help the ongoing drought. RH values are forecast to remain above 50% each afternoon through Friday. Winds today will be from the south up to 8-10 mph. Outdoor burning remains highly discouraged due to continuing drought and dry fuels. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 83 58 76 53 / 10 0 10 0 Anniston 83 59 77 53 / 10 0 10 0 Birmingham 84 59 78 57 / 10 0 10 0 Tuscaloosa 85 59 82 57 / 10 0 0 0 Calera 85 59 81 55 / 10 0 10 0 Auburn 84 64 77 55 / 20 10 10 0 Montgomery 87 64 80 59 / 20 10 10 0 Troy 85 64 79 56 / 30 10 20 0 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...12 LONG TERM....12 AVIATION...12