Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 210500
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1200 AM CDT Mon May 21 2018

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Another magical evening at the Weather Service.

Skies were mostly sunny with only isolated storms in the Mid-State
at 4 pm, then *POOF*, between 5 pm and 6 pm, thunderstorms popped
up all over the place between Clarksville, Dickson, Springfield,
Nashville and Gallatin. A few storms became severe, with damaging
winds and quarter size hail. Localized flooding was also reported.
This makes the second day in a row with that sort of *POOF*
convection in our northwest and north- central areas. Our late
afternoon LI of
-6 and -7 these last few days certainly has not been lacking in
potential, that`s for sure. and, guess what? the GFS pegs the same
general area with late afternoon LI`s of -5 to -7 late tomorrow
afternoon. So, maybe we can go for Round 3?

We should continue to see convection exhibit an evening slow down
over the next several hours. However, the HRRR keeps convective
potential running overnight across our western sections, so
believe our chance PoPs for the late night hours is certainly
warranted.

The most widespread wind damage this evening seems to have been
confined mainly to southwestern Davidson County, just southwest of
Nashville, in the Belle Meade, Green Hills and Bellevue areas.
Numerous trees were blown down, some onto houses, some onto cars
and some onto powerlines.

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

BNA/MQY/CKV/CSV...Earlier convection has dissipated and we are
left with a humid evening and a broken mid deck. Dew points
spreads are running 3-4 degrees already, so have included some
MVFR fog overnight given that most areas received some
precipitation. Expect afternoon convection again tomorrow, with
PROB30 groups covering the peak heating hours.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION......19
AVIATION........08



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