Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
352 FXUS64 KFWD 182326 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 626 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025 ...New Aviation... .KEY MESSAGES... - Hot temperatures will prevail through next week with highs in the upper 90s to 100 each afternoon. - There is a low chance for isolated rain showers in parts of Central Texas on Saturday afternoon. && .SHORT TERM... /Issued 120 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025/ /Through Saturday Night/ A disturbance with tropical origins continues to slowly shift to the west/northwest in Southeast Texas. Much more humid conditions are ongoing closer to the coastline, which is leading to scattered showers and a few storms. Although much of the rainfall is expected to remain south of our region, a few isolated rain showers may develop this afternoon and evening. With greater cloud cover and more humid conditions, the Brazos Valley and our southeastern counties will remain in the lower to mid 90s. For the rest of the region, mid-level ridging will keep subsidence in place with minimal clouds today. Highs will reach the mid to upper 90s, with a few isolated locations reaching 100 degrees. A tranquil night is in store with overnight temperatures in the lower to mid 70s. Mid-level ridging will strengthen tomorrow, leading to a slight increase in afternoon temperatures. Highs will be in the mid 90s to around 100 degrees in North Texas with lower 90s in Central Texas. Rain chances tomorrow will remain below 20% and be confined to our far southeastern counties and the Brazos Valley. Hernandez && .LONG TERM... /Issued 120 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025/ /Sunday Onward/ The elongated ridge extending from Texas eastward will see minor modifications through the rest of the forecast as the jet stream remains across the northern CONUS. This should keep much of our region dry with temperatures in the mid to upper 90s through the next several days. A weak low with increased moisture may move across our Central Texas counties early next week, leading to increased clouds across Central Texas. At time time, forcing for ascent will remain low and precipitation chances will remain minimal. Heat index values each afternoon will range from the upper 90s to around 106 degrees. Anybody spending extended periods of time outdoors are advised to stay hydrated, take frequent breaks and wear light-colored clothing. Hernandez && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /00z TAFs/ VFR conditions will prevail through the period with southerly winds around 10 kts. A few daytime gusts near 20 kts are possible again tomorrow afternoon. A disturbance moving across Central Texas within easterly mid-level flow will result in BKN/OVC clouds at FL150-200, with occasional virga also being observed beneath this cloud deck. Otherwise, a few diurnal cumulus near 5-6 kft will be the extent of cloud cover farther north across D10. -Stalley && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 77 97 79 97 78 / 0 0 0 0 0 Waco 75 92 76 93 75 / 0 5 0 0 0 Paris 74 95 75 96 76 / 0 0 0 0 0 Denton 74 99 77 98 77 / 0 0 0 0 0 McKinney 75 97 77 97 77 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dallas 77 97 78 97 77 / 0 0 0 0 0 Terrell 75 96 76 96 75 / 0 5 0 0 0 Corsicana 76 96 77 96 76 / 0 5 0 0 0 Temple 74 94 75 94 74 / 0 5 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 72 99 75 98 75 / 0 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$