


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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988 FXUS64 KFWD 210537 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1237 AM CDT Sat Jun 21 2025 ...New Short Term, Aviation... .KEY MESSAGES... - Seasonably hot and humid weather will continue through the weekend with little to no chance for rainfall. - A low chance for showers and storms will return to parts of Central and East Texas next week. && .SHORT TERM... /NEW/ /Through Sunday/ Another seasonably hot and humid day is in store for Saturday with little/no chance for rainfall within the CWA. We`ll remain placed on the western periphery of a strong upper ridge within a stout low-level warm advection regime. Southerly flow will keep drawing Gulf moisture northward this morning and again Sunday morning resulting in low stratus and low/mid 70s surface dewpoints to begin each day, but this moisture will mix out quickly by the afternoons with sunny skies and dewpoints falling into the mid 60s. When combined with temperatures in the low/mid 90s, heat index values will range from about 97-103, and therefore will remain shy of Heat Advisory criteria. Otherwise, expect breezy southerly winds to continue through most of the weekend at sustained speeds of 10-20 mph and daytime gusts as high as 25-30 mph. -Stalley && .LONG TERM... /Issued 1252 PM CDT Fri Jun 20 2025/ /Sunday Onward/ The ridge mentioned in the short-term forecast will continue making its way eastward, leading to a record-breaking heat wave across the Eastern Seaboard. Locally, ensemble model guidance has little variance in overall temperatures through the next 2 weeks. High temperatures will largely remain in the mid to upper 90s with overnight temperatures in the mid 70s. The southerly winds next week will usher in increased moisture content across our region. Daily seabreeze convection closer to the Gulf will send a northward surging outflow boundary, providing a focused area for showers and storms each afternoon. Overall, coverage will remain low with no severe weather expected. Hernandez && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /06z TAFs/ VFR conditions and breezy south winds will prevail through most of the period, with the exception of a brief MVFR stratus intrusion this morning. A few hours of cigs at 1500-2500 ft are expected at Waco, and a small amount of SCT/BKN stratus may advance as far north as the D10 TAF sites between 13-15z. Will introduce a short Tempo group for the Metroplex airports to account for this low potential. Otherwise, expect southerly winds of 10-15 kts with occasional gusts to near 25 kts through most of the period. -Stalley && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 76 94 77 96 78 / 0 0 0 0 0 Waco 75 93 74 92 73 / 0 0 0 0 0 Paris 73 90 73 93 73 / 0 0 0 0 0 Denton 74 93 75 96 75 / 0 0 0 0 0 McKinney 75 93 75 94 75 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dallas 76 94 77 96 78 / 0 0 0 0 0 Terrell 74 91 74 93 74 / 0 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 74 91 75 93 75 / 0 0 0 0 0 Temple 73 93 73 94 72 / 0 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 73 93 72 96 73 / 0 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$