988
FXUS64 KFWD 210537
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1237 AM CDT Sat Jun 21 2025

...New Short Term, Aviation...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Seasonably hot and humid weather will continue through the
  weekend with little to no chance for rainfall.

- A low chance for showers and storms will return to parts of
  Central and East Texas next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM... /NEW/
/Through Sunday/

Another seasonably hot and humid day is in store for Saturday
with little/no chance for rainfall within the CWA. We`ll remain
placed on the western periphery of a strong upper ridge within a
stout low-level warm advection regime. Southerly flow will keep
drawing Gulf moisture northward this morning and again Sunday
morning resulting in low stratus and low/mid 70s surface
dewpoints to begin each day, but this moisture will mix out
quickly by the afternoons with sunny skies and dewpoints falling
into the mid 60s. When combined with temperatures in the low/mid
90s, heat index values will range from about 97-103, and therefore
will remain shy of Heat Advisory criteria. Otherwise, expect
breezy southerly winds to continue through most of the weekend at
sustained speeds of 10-20 mph and daytime gusts as high as 25-30
mph.

-Stalley

&&

.LONG TERM... /Issued 1252 PM CDT Fri Jun 20 2025/
/Sunday Onward/

The ridge mentioned in the short-term forecast will continue
making its way eastward, leading to a record-breaking heat wave
across the Eastern Seaboard. Locally, ensemble model guidance has
little variance in overall temperatures through the next 2 weeks.
High temperatures will largely remain in the mid to upper 90s with
overnight temperatures in the mid 70s.

The southerly winds next week will usher in increased moisture
content across our region. Daily seabreeze convection closer to
the Gulf will send a northward surging outflow boundary, providing
a focused area for showers and storms each afternoon. Overall,
coverage will remain low with no severe weather expected.

Hernandez

&&

.AVIATION... /NEW/
/06z TAFs/

VFR conditions and breezy south winds will prevail through most
of the period, with the exception of a brief MVFR stratus
intrusion this morning. A few hours of cigs at 1500-2500 ft are
expected at Waco, and a small amount of SCT/BKN stratus may
advance as far north as the D10 TAF sites between 13-15z. Will
introduce a short Tempo group for the Metroplex airports to
account for this low potential. Otherwise, expect southerly winds
of 10-15 kts with occasional gusts to near 25 kts through most of
the period.

-Stalley

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    76  94  77  96  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
Waco                75  93  74  92  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
Paris               73  90  73  93  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
Denton              74  93  75  96  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
McKinney            75  93  75  94  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dallas              76  94  77  96  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
Terrell             74  91  74  93  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           74  91  75  93  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
Temple              73  93  73  94  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       73  93  72  96  73 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$