Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FXUS63 KDDC 111023
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
523 AM CDT Tue May 11 2021

...Updated aviation section...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 322 AM CDT Tue May 11 2021

Mostly cloudy skies are expected through the short term period
with continued easterly upslope winds. Periods of showers are
anticipated through tonight with the best chance of precipitation
across the northern half of the CWA this morning with lesser
chances this evening into tonight. Well below temperatures are
expected today with highs ranging from the mid 40s along the
KS/CO border to mid 50s across central Kansas. Lows tonight are
expected to range form the mid 30s to low 40s.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 322 AM CDT Tue May 11 2021

A few lingering showers will be possible Wednesday morning with
decreasing cloudiness Wednesday evening. Winds shift back to the
south by Wednesday night and continue through the majority of the
long term forecast. Dry conditions are expected Wednesday night
through Thursday with increased precipitation chances across
eastern portions of the CWA Thursday night into Friday. This is
due to a weak disturbance moving through north of the area. Better
chances of precipitation return this weekend as a series of
disturbances move through the area. Models then suggest an upper
level low moving into the Rockies early next week which could
bring strong to severe storms to the Plains. However, this is
still many days out and will need to be monitored through future
model runs. As for temperatures, highs look to start out in the
upper 50s Wednesday, upper 60s to mid 70s Thursday, then upper 70s
to low 80s through the remainder of the long term sections.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Wednesday morning)
Issued at 522 AM CDT Tue May 11 2021

MVFR conditions are expected throughout the day as low clouds
remain abundant with periods of rain showers. Winds will generally
be form an easterly direction through tonight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  50  39  58  42 /  80  30  20  10
GCK  47  37  56  40 /  90  40  20  10
EHA  47  39  57  42 /  70  40  20  10
LBL  48  39  57  40 /  70  30  20  10
HYS  53  39  59  41 /  90  40  30  10
P28  55  43  61  43 /  50  20  20   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hovorka_42
LONG TERM...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...Hovorka_42


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