Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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355
FXUS64 KHGX 142004
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
304 PM CDT Mon Oct 14 2019

.SHORT TERM [Through Tomorrow]...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will linger for the next few
hours then ending from south to north as the weak warm front
continues to push inland. The areas that saw rain today (Huntsville
north and some spots along the coast) may see some isolated spots of
patchy fog tonight. Temperatures tonight will be a few degrees
warmer than last night as the warm, moist airmass remains over the
area. Houston, Polk, Trinity, Madison and Madison counties will
again see the best chance of precipitation tomorrow as the front
lingers just to the north. The ARW does have activity popping up
further south during the afternoon hours, but it did not do
particularly well with today`s storms, so did not really factor that
into PoPs for tomorrow.

Skies will remain mostly cloudy tomorrow, but breaks in the clouds
near the coast will allow portions of Jackson, Colorado, and Wharton
counties to climb back into the low 90s. However, the entire region
will feel like it will be in the 90s due to the higher humidity.
Don`t fret too much as another cold front moving through the region
will push this hot and humid air out for Wednesday as discussed
below.

Fowler

&&

.LONG TERM [Tomorrow Night Through Monday Night...

Cold front will be moving through Southeast Texas and off the coast
Tuesday night through Wednesday morning. With most areas still having
high moisture levels in place (precipitable water values > 2 inches),
looking for good shower and thunderstorm coverage to develop along and
ahead of the front with some locations probably seeing up to an inch
or two of rain. Have rain chances tapering off from north to south as
the day progresses on Wednesday with all but the immediate coast and
offshore dry by the end of the day. Cooler temperatures will come back
to the area behind the front with Wednesday and Thursday`s highs mostly
in the 70s while lows on Thursday and Friday are in the 50s/60s. Rain
could be lingering near the coast and especially the further offshore
you go. By the end of the week and the first part of the weekend, most
of the area will stay dry as the deepest moisture and lift remain out
over the Gulf. Warming temperatures can be expected in this time period
as onshore winds gradually return. Will continue to show steadily rising
rain chances and even warmer temperatures over the second half of the
weekend and into the start of next week, but it still looks like we
will see our next cold front (and associated showers and thunderstorms)
move on through in a Monday/Tuesday time period and cool us back down.

42

&&

.MARINE...

Showers and thunderstorms will continue over the next few hours
bringing localized gusty winds, but activity should decrease around
sunset. Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible again
tomorrow afternoon. Light to moderate south to southeasterly winds
will occur tonight as a system begins to deepen in the Southern
Plains. The associated cold front will push through the region
Wednesday morning ushering in north to northeasterly flow behind the
system. These winds will approach SCEC criteria late Wednesday
afternoon through early Thursday morning. High pressure lingering
over the eastern U.S. will help keep a mostly light to moderate
easterly flow through the rest of the week.

Fowler

&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

College Station (CLL)  72  89  63  71  54 /  20  60  80  20  10
Houston (IAH)          75  89  71  75  58 /  30  40  80  50  10
Galveston (GLS)        79  84  76  81  68 /  10  30  70  60  20

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

TX...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$



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