Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 252105

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
205 PM PDT Fri May 25 2018

.SYNOPSIS..A storm system will bring showers and strong thunderstorms
to Humboldt county tonight. A cold front will move through the
region Friday night into Saturday with showers and afternoon
thunderstorms expected across the state beginning Saturday,
through the Memorial Day weekend. Drier conditions settle into the
Great Basin Tuesday.


.SHORT TERM...Tonight. Showers and storms will continue across
Humboldt county this evening before dissipating overnight. Some
storms in the early evening could be strong to isolated severe.
Main threat will continue to be strong gusty winds and small hail.
Brief heavy rainfall is also expected with these storms. Flooding
is not likely but will need to be monitored as these storms have
the potential to train across the same region. Cold front will
pass through the area late tonight ushering in a cooler air mass
for the weekend.

Saturday and Sunday. Upper level system will continue to push
eastward this weekend. As such shower and storm coverage will
increase across much of the region. Expect showers with a chance
for afternoon and evening thunderstorms for both Saturday and
Sunday. Temperatures will be cooler due to the recent cold front
passage with day time highs 10-15 degrees cooler from today.
Temperatures will slowly rebound starting Sunday.

.LONG TERM...Sunday night through next Friday. Their is pretty
good agreement in the long term period. A general trough pattern
will continue to sit over the Great Basin. Showers and
thunderstorms will be a daily occurrence through the Memorial Day
weekend and through next week. High temperatures will range from
the upper 60s to the upper 70s. Low temperatures will generally
be in the 40s.


.AVIATION...VFR conditions are expected at all terminals with the
exception of KWMC. Brief MVFR/IFR will be possible in strong to
severe thunderstorms during the afternoon at KWMC. Some of the
storms affecting the KWMC area could have wind gusts to 50kts,
quarter size hail, and heavy rain. KBAM will likely see VCTS.
Expect gusty southerly winds at KTPH and maybe some light blowing
dust in the vicinity around the airport.


.FIRE WEATHER...Scattered showers and storms expected to continue
across Humboldt county tonight before diminishing with the passage
of a cold front overnight. Strong winds in northern Nye county
will diminish after sunset. All areas will see good RH recovery
tonight. Expect additional showers and storms to develop for
Saturday and Sunday with more areal coverage.




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