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000
FXUS65 KLKN 011134
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
334 AM PST Fri Dec 1 2023

.SYNOPSIS... Snow showers continue this morning as the first of a
series of systems traverses the area. Snow showers will be off and
on throughout the day, with them picking up again heading into
evening. Active weather continues through Sunday before tapering
off Monday. An Upper level ridge looks to follow the systems and
build in across the SW for mid week giving the Great Basin region
a break in the active weather.


&&

.SHORT TERM...Today through Saturday night.

The first in a series of shortwaves continues to move across the
state. Current satellite and radar is showing areas of snow
showers. Some pockets of moderate to heavy snow is also ongoing
along the I-80 corridor. These showers will continue to move east
throughout the early morning hours. Several areas may experience a
break or lull in snow shower activity later this morning.This
will be followed by breezy to gusty northwest winds, gusting 20-35
mph with higher gusts along mountain peaks and summits. This may
cause patchy blowing snow. Highs today will be in the lower 30s to
lower 40s.

Heading into the afternoon, another wave of snow showers will
work into the state, and continue through the night. For the
remainder of today, a trace to 1 inch of snow is expected in most
valleys. Some higher mountain passes and summits along US-93 and
I-80 could see an additional 1-2 inches of snowfall. For the
mountains of Northern Elko county, as well as the Ruby Mountains,
and additional 6-12 inches of snow is forecasted, with localized
higher amounts. Lows tonight will drop into the teens to mid 20s.

Saturday the second of series of shortwaves traverse the state
ahead of ridging. Snow levels will be on the rise throughout the
day. As a result snow showers are slowly expected to transition
to a mix and eventually to rain, mainly west of Elko and White
Pine county. Snow totals in the valleys are forecasted to
generally be a trace to 1 inch, however higher mountain passes and
summits could see another 1-2 inches. As for the mountains of
northern Elko and the Ruby mountains, and additional 3-12 inches
are forecasted, with spots above 6500 feet potentially seeing
another 10-20 inches. Winds will be breezy to gusty heading into
Saturday afternoon and evening, with the strongest of the winds
across the I-80 corridor and north in Elko county. Winds could
gust as high as 35-45 mph. Highs Saturday will be in the upper
30s to mid 40s, with lows ranging from the 20s to low 30s.



.LONG TERM...Sunday through next Friday

Additional light snow is expected Sunday across northern Nevada
before tapering off Sunday night into Monday. Impacts should be
minimal and limited to mountain areas and passes due to rising
heights and snow levels. Quieter and drier weather prevails for
early to mid next week as an upper ridge builds over the western
U.S. Starting early next week, temperatures will slowly rise into
the upper 40s and lower 50s, with overnight lows remaining in the
20s.

Indications of an active weather pattern are present in ensemble
guidance and deterministic models between Thursday and Friday.
However, there are some differences between ensemble members
indicating low to moderate confidence in timing of impactful
weather conditions. Temperatures are expected to moderate only
slightly during this time period with highs remaining in the 30s
and 40s by the end of next week.


&&

.AVIATION...Several rounds of snow and accompanying lowering CIGs
and VIS will move through northern Nevada over the next several
days. MVFR and occasional IFR conditions that will accompany the
heavier snow showers are expected across the I-80 corridor
impacting KWMC, KBAM and KEKO through the overnight hours tonight.
Overall probabilities of visibility of less than 3SM are in the
30-40% range. A brief break is expected Friday morning before
another round of snow moves into northern Nevada Friday evening
after 00Z.


&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Winter Weather Advisory until 4 PM PST Saturday ABOVE 6000 FEET
in Humboldt County...Northern Lander County and Northern Eureka
County.

Winter Storm Warning until 10 AM PST Sunday Northern Elko
County...Ruby Mountains and East Humboldt Range.

Winter Weather Advisory until 4 PM PST Saturday ABOVE 6500 FEET
in Southern Lander County and Southern Eureka County...White
Pine County.

Winter Weather Advisory until 4 PM PST Saturday South Central
Elko County...Southwest Elko County.

&&

$$

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