Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS62 KTAE 211039
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
639 AM EDT Sun Apr 21 2019

.AVIATION...
[Through 12Z Monday]

Sunny/clear skies are expected this TAF period. Northwesterly winds
will be light.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION [302 AM EDT]...

.NEAR TERM [Through Today]...

In the upper levels the deep trough will move away from the region
as a ridge begins to build into the region. At the surface high
pressure will be centered over the region today. Northwesterly winds
will be light, skies will be sunny and POPs will be zero. Highs will
be a little warmer today in the mid to upper 70s.


.SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Tuesday]...

In the upper levels a ridge will be over the region. At the surface
high pressure will remain over the Southeast. POPs will be near zero
and skies will be sunny/clear. Highs will be in the lower to mid
80s. Lows will be in the lower to mid 50s.


.LONG TERM [Tuesday Night Through Sunday]...

In the upper levels a ridge will be over the region until a trough
moves in Thursday night. Ridging will return by Saturday. At the
surface high pressure will be over the region until the next system
approaches on Thursday. The best chance for rain will be Thursday
night through Friday. Highs will be in the 80s. Lows will be mainly
in the 60s.


.MARINE...

Winds will be light and northerly through mid week, becoming
southerly every afternoon due to a weak sea breeze. The next system
will move through Thursday night into Friday.


.FIRE WEATHER...

Relative humidity will be very low today around 25 to 30 percent.
Winds today will be much lighter around 10 mph or less. Therefore
red flag conditions are not expected today. High dispersions above
75 are expected today.


.HYDROLOGY...

Most local rivers are steady or falling at this time. One exception
is the Apalachicola River near Blountstown is rising due to upstream
dam releases and is expected to approach minor flood stage late
tonight and tomorrow. The forecast keeps it just below flood stage.
The next chance for rainfall will be Thursday night into Friday.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   77  49  84  54  85 /   0   0   0   0   0
Panama City   73  55  77  59  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dothan        75  51  81  55  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
Albany        75  51  81  57  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
Valdosta      74  49  82  53  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
Cross City    76  48  83  54  84 /   0   0   0   0   0
Apalachicola  74  53  77  58  78 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...McD
SHORT TERM...McD
LONG TERM...McD
AVIATION...McD
MARINE...McD
FIRE WEATHER...McD
HYDROLOGY...McD


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