286
FXUS64 KBMX 220609
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
109 AM CDT Wed May 22 2024

...New SHORT TERM, AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 108 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2024

High pressure remains in control today so any showers that develop
to our west should dissipate as they work into our northwest.
Cannot rule out a few sprinkles in Marion, Winston, Lamar, or
Fayette counties so included a 10 percent chance here. Not
expecting anything measurable though. Look for scattered fair
weather cumulus this afternoon. Tonight, the ridge will slide ever
so slowly to the east and the clouds and rain will begin to make
some southeastward progress. With that said though the areas that
may see rain before sunrise Thursday will generally be the
northwestern 5 counties. This trend continues on Thursday across
the north as the front makes barely any movement south. Generally
the best areas for isolated to scattered showers/storms will be
the northwest once again. A shower/storm could approach the north
side of the Birmingham metro, but most of the activity will remain
north. Highs each day will be in the upper 80s to low 90s.

16

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 221 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2024

No significant changes to the forecast. North Alabama will be on
the southern end of the westerlies with several rounds of showers
and storms impacting areas mainly north of I-20. A deepening upper
trough early next week could result in more widespread rain across
Alabama. Highs each day in the upper 80s to lower 90s.

58/rose

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 108 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2024

All sites should remain VFR through the period, with passing mid and
high clouds through the period. Light surface winds overnight
will rebound to 5-8 kts during the day with scattered coverage of
fair weather cumulus developing by midday. Additional high clouds
will build in after 00z from west to east.

16

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

High pressure will be in control through Thursday. Min RH values
this afternoon and Thursday 45 to 50 percent. 20 foot winds will
be generally 4 to 6 mph from the south. Max RH levels tonight will
be above 90 percent. Next chance for wetting rain Thursday night
across the northwest, with chances for rain across the northern
counties on Friday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     89  66  89  66 /  10  10  20  10
Anniston    89  67  89  67 /  10  10  10  10
Birmingham  90  70  89  69 /  10  10  10  10
Tuscaloosa  90  69  89  69 /  10  10  10  10
Calera      88  68  88  68 /  10  10  10  10
Auburn      86  68  86  68 /   0   0   0   0
Montgomery  90  68  89  68 /   0   0   0   0
Troy        89  67  89  67 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...16
LONG TERM....58
AVIATION...16