Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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FXUS63 KGLD 160145

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
645 PM MST Fri Feb 15 2019

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 240 PM MST Fri Feb 15 2019

CAA will dominate the Tri-State area this weekend throughout the
early work week. However for tomorrow afternoon, expect daily
highs with quite the range of temperatures sitting in the low 20s
to the upper 30s tomorrow afternoon. Lows tonight and tomorrow
night in will be in the teens.

Saturday night will be our next chance of some light
precipitation, as a weak upper level shortwave trough will move
across the high plains from the Colorado rockies. Expecting at
most a light dusting for our portions of our CWA.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 249 PM MST Fri Feb 15 2019

The extended forecast will be characterized by below normal
temperatures and chances for snow.  A broad trough extending from
the Pacific Northwest to south-central Minnesota, and south
through central Utah and Colorado will result in southwest flow
for the Tri-State region.

Southwest flow will persist as the trough continues to dig southward
over southern Nevada and northern Arizona. A closed, mid level
low will be centered over the northeastern part of Nebraska Sunday
morning. As a result of this pattern, we are expecting breezy
conditions in the forecast region and dry conditions through the

Several shortwaves will push around the deep trough over the western
CONUS Sunday night through the remainder of the forecast period.
Off and on snow chances will be possible from Sunday night into
Tuesday night. A few inches of snow will be possible during this
time frame, with higher amounts in our southern CWA.

Monday and Tuesday morning, low temperatures will be down to the
single digits above zero. Winds will not be strong, however wind
chills will be in the single digits to lower teens below zero.
Will continue to monitor this over the weekend for possible
advisory criteria.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)
Issued at 645 PM MST Fri Feb 15 2019

MCK: MVFR ceilings will deteriorate to IFR late this evening into
tonight. Ceilings will improve to MVFR late Saturday morning, then
deteriorate to IFR-LIFR Saturday afternoon and evening. ESE winds
at ~10 knots will prevail tonight, veering to the SE-SSE and
increasing to 15-20 knots during the day on Saturday.

GLD: VFR conditions will prevail this evening. MVFR ceilings may
develop overnight between 09-15Z. Otherwise, VFR conditions are
anticipated to prevail late Saturday morning through mid-late
Saturday afternoon. SE-SSE winds at 10-15 knots will prevail this
evening into tonight, veering to the S and increasing to 15-25
knots during the day on Saturday.




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