Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FXUS63 KJKL 202311

National Weather Service Jackson KY
711 PM EDT Fri Sep 20 2019

Issued at 711 PM EDT FRI SEP 20 2019

Another beautiful evening is unfolding across east Kentucky.
Temperatures have fallen back into the lower 80s after topping out
in the mid to upper 80s earlier this afternoon. Overnight lows
still look reasonable based on cross over temperatures in the low
60s.  Thus, no changes planned to the current forecast.


.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday night)
Issued at 320 PM EDT FRI SEP 20 2019

More of the same in the short term, with much warmer than normal
temperatures and mainly dry weather on tap for eastern Kentucky
through the weekend. We actually had a few rain showers and
patches of sprinkles in the area today, but these did not amount
to much, with most of the forecast area remaining dry. Some of the
model data is suggesting that a similar scenario may play out on
Saturday, but confidence in this is low at this time, so no
precipitation was included in the forecast for tomorrow. We will
be seeing another day of highs in the mid to upper 80s for
Saturday. Lows the next two nights will fall into the upper 50s to
mid 60s. Winds should be generally out of the south or southwest
at less than 10 mph through Saturday night.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 320 PM EDT FRI SEP 20 2019

The pattern in the extended still looks that same as it has over
the past few days. A ridge of high pressure should keep warm and
dry weather in place across eastern Kentucky on Sunday. However, a
fairly well defined cold front is still forecast to move through
the region late Sunday night and Monday. This boundary will bring
showers and a few storms to the area. Once the boundary has moved
through, a much cooler air mass is poised to settle over the area
for a couple of days. This change in air mass will likely finally
bring some seasonable temperatures to eastern Kentucky. We should
see highs on Monday and Tuesday ranging from the upper 70s to
lower 80s across the area, which is on average just slightly below
normal. The cool down looks to be short lived, however, as
another strong ridge is forecast to set up shop across the region
toward the middle of next week. We may see temperatures topping
out in the mid to upper 80s yet again Wednesday and Thursday for
most of the area.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)

VFR conditions and light winds will dominate the TAF forecast
period, although some patchy valley fog will be seen in the more
sheltered locations late tonight.




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