Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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FXUS64 KCRP 220501 AAC
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1101 PM CST Mon Jan 21 2019

.DISCUSSION...

&&

.AVIATION...Clear skies will continue over the Brush Country late
this evening, while scattered to broken clouds were over the coastal
plains. This cloud deck will remain above 3 kft into the early
overnight period. Southerly low level flow will increase to 40-45
knots overnight and will provide an influx of low level moisture
into the coastal plains. MVFR ceilings are expected to form around
08Z for coastal plains. Stratus deck will move into the Brush
Country overnight, possibly affecting the LRD area around
daybreak. The low level jet will be strong enough to warrant
mention of low level wind shear for ALI and LRD late in the
overnight period. MVFR ceilings will diminish over the Brush
Country around 15Z Tuesday and by early afternoon for the Coastal
Bend. MVFR ceilings are expected to persist through the afternoon
for the Victoria Crossroads. Gusty south winds will affect the
coastal plains again on Tuesday. The winds will gust to near 35
knots over the southern Coastal Bend from 17-23Z. Isolated
showers will be possible over the Victoria Crossroads Tuesday.
Showers will increase in coverage over the coastal plains on
Tuesday evening as a cold front moves into the region. MVFR vsbys
will occur with the shower activity. MVFR ceilings will be
prevalent over the coastal plains while VFR conditions will occur
over the Brush Country Tuesday evening.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 954 PM CST Mon Jan 21 2019/

DISCUSSION...Satellite imagery shows low clouds increasing over
the coastal plains late this evening. Increased sky cover for the
inland areas overnight into Tuesday morning as the strengthening
low level flow of 40-45 knots advects higher moisture into the
area. No changes were made to the current temperature forecast.
See Marine section for changes to the SCA.

MARINE...Low level southerly flow of 40 knots will persist over
the waters tonight into Tuesday. Expect the higher winds will move
into the northern near shore waters tonight. Extended the SCA to
include the northern near shore waters from 06Z Tuesday until 00Z
Wednesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    59  76  44  55  37  /  10  10  60  30  10
Victoria          56  72  41  53  33  /  10  20  70  40  10
Laredo            56  75  46  59  38  /   0  10  20  10   0
Alice             57  78  44  57  35  /  10  10  50  20   0
Rockport          60  69  43  54  40  /  10  10  60  50  10
Cotulla           54  72  44  58  35  /  10  10  20  10   0
Kingsville        58  79  45  57  36  /  10  10  60  30  10
Navy Corpus       61  71  45  54  43  /  10  10  60  40  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM CST Tuesday For the following
     zones: Coastal waters from Port Aransas to Matagorda Ship
     Channel out 20 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM CST Tuesday For the following
     zones: Coastal waters from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas out
     20 NM...Waters from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas from 20 to
     60 NM...Waters from Port Aransas to Matagorda Ship Channel
     from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

TMT/89...AVIATION



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