Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS
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627 FXUS63 KDDC 092140 AFDDDC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Dodge City KS 440 PM CDT Thu May 9 2024 ...Updated Aviation/Key Messages... .KEY MESSAGES... - Southwest Kansas will remain dry through midday Saturday. - The next round of needed rainfall and embedded thunder is expected Saturday night and Sunday. Rainfall amounts of up to one half inch are possible. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/... Issued at 122 PM CDT Thu May 9 2024 Dry conditions are expected throughout the short term period. High clouds look to envelop western Kansas after midnight tonight and tomorrow night but should dissipate after sunrise. Winds will generally be from a northerly direction through tomorrow, then shift to the south by sunrise Saturday as lee troughing develops across eastern Colorado. As for temperatures, lows will generally be in the 40s with highs in the 70s. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... Issued at 122 PM CDT Thu May 9 2024 Dry conditions continue through Saturday afternoon as a weak ridge of high pressure builds over the Plains. This will lead to mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. An upper level low will spin above the four corners region through Saturday then trek eastward over the area Sunday into the first part of next week. As this low gets closer, weak disturbances may swing into the area bringing a chance of precipitation to western Kansas. Otherwise expect an increase in cloudiness. Ensembles show probabilities of over a 50 percent chance of a quarter of an inch or more across the eastern half of the CWA Saturday night through Monday morning. Temperatures throughout the long term will generally be in the upper 70s to low 80s Saturday and Sunday. 80s return as highs as we head into the first part of next week. Lows will start out in the 40s to low 50s. && .AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/... Issued at 440 PM CDT Thu May 9 2024 VFR will continue through this TAF period, with increasing midlevel clouds on Friday. Winds will remain light with a northerly component. && .DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Hovorka_42 LONG TERM...Hovorka_42 AVIATION...Turner