022
FXUS62 KFFC 272346
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
746 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024

...New 00Z Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Tuesday)
Issued at 246 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024

The main line of thunderstorms has moved out of the area, leaving a
boundary stretching from Heard County over through Bibb County. A
couple storms continue to move along this boundary, occasionally
spinning up as they ingests vorticity and MUCAPE of around 2000
J/Kg. This storm is likely to remain at or near severe levels
through the next few hours.

A few storms are possible north of the boundary this afternoon as
the larger mid level trough and sfc cold front pushed through. These
storms will be isolated in nature although a storm becoming strong
cannot be ruled out. Storms along and south of the boundary will be
more scattered in nature. These southern storms also have a greater
potential to become strong to even severe given the atmosphere has
not quite been worked over just yet.

With current cloud coverage, temperatures continue to
most models. CAMs overall struggled with this system, however the
HRRR seems to be doing the best of all of them.

The good news is that once this system moves through, conditions
clear and dry out. Winds will be light but noticeable tomorrow and
highs will reach back into the mid-80s.

SM

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday morning through next Sunday)
Issued at 246 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024

With active weather ongoing across portions of the forecast area,
only minor adjustments have been made to the extended forecast based
on the latest guidance. The previous discussion follows...

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 328 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

The extended forecast starts off dry as high
pressure slowly builds in from the northern plains and western
great lake states. With this ridge and drier airmass will come
slightly cooler temps for the middle to the end of the week. Temps
Wed through Fri will see highs mainly in the lower to middle 80s.
Moisture begins to creep back in for the weekend and could see
precip chances move back in for Sat/Sun.

01

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 740 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024

Sct convection continues for areas primarily south of I-20 this
evening and is expected to gradually dissipate closer to 03z.
Cigs/vsbys largely remain VFR, though MVFR cigs/vsbys will be
possible in association with any convection that occurs. MVFR
vsbys will be possible between 06-12z at CSG/MCN. Skies are
expected to clear out after 06z with SKC expected on Tuesday.
Winds will be light/VRB tonight switching to the NW 5 to 10kts
with gusts nearing 22kts Tuesday afternoon.

//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...

Medium confidence on TSRA potential at ATL through 02z.
High confidence on remaining elements.

07

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          66  86  61  85 /  20   0   0   0
Atlanta         68  86  65  84 /  20   0   0   0
Blairsville     59  77  54  76 /  10   0   0   0
Cartersville    64  84  59  83 /  10   0   0   0
Columbus        69  90  66  88 /  50   0   0   0
Gainesville     65  83  61  83 /  20   0   0   0
Macon           68  89  63  88 /  50   0   0   0
Rome            65  85  60  83 /  10   0   0   0
Peachtree City  66  86  62  85 /  40   0   0   0
Vidalia         72  90  67  89 /  60  10   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SM
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...07