903
FXUS64 KAMA 072250
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
450 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1124 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

No impactful weather expected within the next seven days.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Monday night)
Issued at 1124 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

Persistent cloud cover in the NE zone of our CWA will aid in keeping
temperatures much below normal. While the rest of the Panhandles
should reside in the 50`s, our northeastern counties may not rise
above the 40`s for highs today. Clouds will erode slowly today and
winds should continue to be light. Lows tonight should increase
slightly into the 30`s, but mostly clear skies overnight will allow
a few areas to dip into the 20`s again. Tomorrow, surface winds flip
back from the southwest and highs will increase to the upper 50`s
and lower 60`s.

Rangel

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 1124 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

Northwest flow will continue over our area this week as the upper
level trough evolves across the eastern CONUS. Forecast mid level
temperatures increase on Tuesday and possibly also Thursday this
week. Meanwhile, there are still some uncertainties as to how much
WAA will factor into the temperature shift. Tuesday still looks to
be breezy given model confidence of a tightening pressure gradient
from a surface low set to develop off the lee side of the Rockies in
SE Colorado and NE New Mexico. However, the latest 12Z NBM shows
winds lower than older runs across the CWA. Even the 90th Percentile
struggles to bring winds up to 15 kts during the afternoon. The
probability of reaching 70 degrees is low on Tuesday, except for
PDC, but we won`t rule out additional locations exiting the 60`s if
the winds end up stronger than forecast. (When does that ever
happen...)

The rest of the week still looks to support benign weather
conditions. Thursday looks to be as warm as Tuesday, even though our
next cold front is progged to move through the High Plains Thursday
afternoon. More long range ensemble members are showing some higher
confidence of colder temperatures this weekend, and even the NBM is
slowly catching on to the new trend. Though moisture still looks to
remain absent, we may have another chance to be removed from these
above normal temperatures.

Rangel

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 449 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025

VFR conditions are expected through at least the next 24 hours.
Winds will mostly be less than 10 kts throughout this period.

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....55
AVIATION...52