Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
079 FXUS64 KCRP 031730 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 1130 AM CST Mon Nov 3 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1129 AM CST Mon Nov 3 2025 - Near normal temperatures return with above normal temperatures on deck late this week - Dry through next weekend && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1129 AM CST Mon Nov 3 2025 The area will remain under upper level ridge influence through most of the forecast period, allowing for plenty of days of mostly clear skies and temperatures gradually increasing back to the "warm" territory. In fact, the only locations with cloud cover likely will be across the western Gulf with a mid-level low slowly moving to the west this week. On Friday, a brief surge of drier air across inland locations will allow for temps to climb back up into the low 90s and for Saturday`s high temps as well. By those days as well, most of South Texas also will see low temperatures not really drop below 60F. By Sunday morning, another weak frontal passage will drop through the region, with high temps still reaching the 80s but a more noticeable cool down with Monday afternoon`s highs (upper 70s/low 80s). && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1129 AM CST Mon Nov 3 2025 VFR conditions persist through the TAF cycle. While there are some models dropping VIS for KALI/KVCT due to patchy fog for Tuesday morning, the confidence in this low, so keeping the mention of this out of the TAF for now, but will revisit this later today. && .MARINE... Issued at 1129 AM CST Mon Nov 3 2025 Light and gentle (BF 2-3) onshore flow persists through Thursday afternoon with 1-2 ft seas. Thursday night, onshore flow increases to more gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) with seas increasing to near 3 ft. A frontal passage on early Sunday morning results in winds being more out of the northeast at fresh (BF 5) strength and seas increasing to 4-5 ft. Rain chances associated with the front on Sunday are greatest in the offshore waters but still remaining low (20-30%). && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1129 AM CST Mon Nov 3 2025 Energy Release Components are near the 90th percentile across South Texas today. A gradual decrease in these ERC values continues through Thursday, while remaining above the 75th percentile. Minimum relative humidity values bottom out in the 20-30% this afternoon and then climb above 35% Tuesday through Thursday. This weekend, min RH values decrease to 25-35%. Winds overall will be weak enough to enhance the fire risk. Minimal chances for rain (<10%) carries through the upcoming weekend. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 60 80 60 83 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 49 81 55 84 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 56 85 59 88 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 53 84 56 87 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 64 80 65 82 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 53 85 56 88 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 56 82 57 85 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 68 78 67 80 / 0 0 0 0 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...AE/82 AVIATION...AE/82