617
FXUS64 KJAN 100736
AFDJAN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
236 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

...New DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

 - Dry weather conditions with cooler mornings will prevail
   through this weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 236 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

Today and Tonight...

Made a few adjustments to the forecast and lowered dewpoints for
this afternoon given the dry airmass across our forecast area.
Outside of that minor adjustment, quiet weather conditions will
persist across our CWA today. Expect afternoon highs to peak into
the low 80s areawide. Quiet conditions will continue heading into
the overnight period. Sky conditions will remain generally clear
across our forecast area allowing for radiational cooling to occur.
This will allow for nighttime lows to dip into the mid/upper 50s.

Saturday through Thursday...

Global guidance continues to show upper ridging building to the west
of our area looking into Saturday. The building upper ridge combined
with drier air advecting across the southeast CONUS will allow for
dry and quiet conditions to persist across our CWA through the
weekend.

Regarding the concerns for fire wx, RHs will drop to around 35-40%
across much of our forecast area Saturday and Sunday which could
cause some low-end fire weather concerns. RHs values will continue
to be monitored as we get through the weekend.

Heading into the new work week, the upper ridge axis will shift
slightly eastward. This will help maintain the sfc high pressure
system across the Deep South. Because of this, dry conditions will
continue across our CWA. Temperatures will begin to trend upward
looking ahead into the mid week as global guidance still shows
surface trajectories taking on a more southerly component. Dry and
quiet conditions will continue heading into Friday. /CR/

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1222 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

A few pockets of stratus are possible, mainly through the Friday
morning hours. However, ceilings are expected to remain above
MVFR. Otherwise, VFR conditions are anticipated through the TAF
period. /DL/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       57  82  56  85 /   0   0   0   0
Meridian      54  82  53  84 /   0   0   0   0
Vicksburg     57  83  56  85 /   0   0   0   0
Hattiesburg   57  85  54  87 /   0   0   0   0
Natchez       57  84  56  86 /   0   0   0   0
Greenville    56  82  55  84 /   0   0   0   0
Greenwood     55  84  54  85 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

CR/DL