035
FXUS62 KMLB 131101
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
601 AM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 105 AM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

- Dry conditions are forecast across east central Florida as an
  area of high pressure remains situated across the area.

- Temperatures slowly warm over the next few days, with highs
  reaching near-normal values late this week into the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 105 AM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

Today-Tonight...A surface high remains in place over the Florida
peninsula, with yet another dry day forecast locally. Wind become
predominantly northerly across the area, sticking around 10 mph
through today. Temperatures begin a gradual warming trend, with
highs forecast to reach the mid 70s across the area today.
Overnight, temperatures are still forecast to remain 5 to 10
degrees below normal, falling into the upper 40s to mid 50s.

Friday-Wednesday...A weak front moves across the Florida
peninsula and local Atlantic waters on Friday with little fanfare,
helping to further reinforce the area of high pressure situated
across the area. Dry conditions are forecast through this weekend
and into early next week, with no mentionable rain chances
highlighted in the forecast. The Euro continues to hint at a
frontal passage early next week, but the GFS has continued to
favor a drier solution with the high remaining in place over the
area. Will continue to monitor and see which way the global models
trend, as this could lead to a slight increase in rain chances
next week if models trend towards the Euro. Winds slowly veer
through the period from out of the east- northeast on Friday to
out of the southeast to southwest over the weekend, becoming a bit
more variable into next week. Wind speeds are forecast to remain
generally below 15 mph. Temperatures are forecast to continue on a
gradual warming trend, with highs in the mid to upper 70s on
Friday warming into the upper 70s to low 80s this weekend and into
the middle of next week. Lows are forecast to generally remain in
the 50s to low 60s.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 105 AM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

High pressure remains situated across the area through next week,
being reinforced on Friday as a weak front moves across the area.
This will keep rain out of the forecast over the next several
days and help maintain generally favorable boating conditions
across the local Atlantic waters. Northerly winds slowly veer to
out of the east-northeast on Friday, southeast on Saturday, and
west- southwest into Sunday and Monday. Wind speeds are forecast
to remain below 15 knots through the period. As a result, seas are
forecast to maintain wave heights of 2 to 4 feet, with the
greatest wave heights focused across the offshore waters.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFs)
Issued at 600 AM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

SKC prevailing through much of the TAF period. Light northerly
winds this morning will become northeasterly this afternoon, but
remain around 8 kts or less. Light and variable winds then return
this evening and overnight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  72  53  75  55 /   0   0   0   0
MCO  74  54  77  55 /   0   0   0   0
MLB  73  56  77  61 /   0   0   0   0
VRB  74  56  77  60 /   0   0   0   0
LEE  75  51  77  52 /   0   0   0   0
SFB  74  52  77  55 /   0   0   0   0
ORL  74  54  77  56 /   0   0   0   0
FPR  74  55  77  60 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Tollefsen
AVIATION...Leahy