Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 040159
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
959 PM EDT THU SEP 3 2015

.UPDATE...
THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA REMAIN OFF THE NORTHEAST COAST OF
FLORIDA...WHILE A TRAILING SURFACE TROUGH LAGS BEHIND IT OVER
NORTH AND CENTRAL FLORIDA. A FEW ISOLATED STORMS REMAIN OVER THE
CWA THANKS TO SOME REMNANT BOUNDARY COLLISIONS AND LEFTOVER
INSTABILITY FROM THIS AFTERNOON. DO NOT EXPECT THIS TO LAST MUCH
BEYOND 11 PM.

SURFACE PRESSURE PATTERN REMAINS FAIRLY UNIFORM OVER THE AREA...SO
LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. SURFACE TROUGH SETTLING SOUTH OVER
THE AREA WILL GRADUALLY TRANSITION BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS TO OUT OF
THE NORTH/NORTHWEST BY TOMORROW MORNING...WHILE STILL REMAINING
AT OR BELOW 5 MPH. GFS INDICATES AN UPTICK IN AVAILABLE MOISTURE
TOMORROW (PWATS IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES) SO SLIGHTLY BETTER COVERAGE
OF SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING STORMS EXPECTED TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR OVERNIGHT WITH LIGHT SURFACE WINDS AT OR BELOW 5 KNOTS. AN
INCREASE IN ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO HIGHER
COVERAGE OF AFTERNOON LIGHTNING STORMS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
TOMORROW AFTERNOON. ADVERTISED THIS WITH VCTS IN THE TAFS
BEGINNING AT 18Z/19Z AS EAST COAST SEA BREEZE DEVELOPS ALONG THE
COAST AND TRANSITIONS WINDS TO THE NORTHEAST/EAST THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AT COASTAL TERMINALS.

&&

.MARINE...
LIGHT WINDS OVER THE LOCAL WATERS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH A
NORTHERLY COMPONENT DEVELOPING FRIDAY MORNING. WINDS AT OR BELOW
10 KNOTS AND SEAS AT OR BELOW 2 FEET THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  75  92  73  90 /  10  50  30  40
MCO  75  92  74  92 /  10  60  30  50
MLB  75  90  75  89 /  10  50  30  40
VRB  74  91  72  89 /  10  50  30  40
LEE  75  93  74  91 /  10  60  30  50
SFB  76  93  74  92 /  10  60  30  40
ORL  77  93  75  92 /  10  60  30  50
FPR  73  91  72  90 /  10  50  30  40

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

FORECASTS/AVIATION...ULRICH
RADAR/IMPACT WEATHER....LASCODY



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