Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 280153
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
853 PM EST TUE JAN 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...

TONIGHT-WED...FRONTAL TROUGH SLIDING SOUTHEAST OVER THE ATLANTIC
WILL ALLOW NORTH/SOUTH ORIENTED HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO PUSH TOWARDS
THE EASTERN PART OF THE COUNTRY AND INDUCE A NORTHERLY WIND FLOW
OVER THE AREA LATE TONIGHT AND WED.  THIS WILL REINFORCE THE
COOL/DRY AIR MASS ALREADY IN PLACE.

LITTLE CHANGE IS INDICATED IN TEMPERATURES WITH LOWS TONIGHT IN THE
LOWER/MID 40S AND HIGHS WED IN THE LOWER/MIDDLE 60S. THE VOLUSIA
COAST WILL LIKELY ONLY REACH THE UPPER 50S ON WED DUE TO NORTH FLOW
OVER CHILLY NEARSHORE WATERS.  LATEST GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW
WINDS TOWARDS SUNRISE 5-10 MPH AND WIND CHILLS IN THE MID-UPPER
30S...SO A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS NOT WARRANTED TONIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR. NORTH WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND 20 KNOTS AT COASTAL SITES WED.

&&

.MARINE...
TONIGHT/WED...WINDS BEHIND FRONTAL TROUGH SLIDING SOUTHEAST OVER THE
ATLANTIC WILL TURN MORE NORTHERLY OVERNIGHT.  WITH THE FORECAST
PRESSURE GRADIENT AND SOME COLD AIR ADVECTION...EXPECT GUSTY WINDS
AROUND 20 KNOTS EVEN IN THE NEARSHORE ZONE...SO HAVE CONTINUED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY OVERNIGHT FOR ALL ZONES. CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN
POOR ON WED WITH AN ADVISORY LIKELY NEEDED OVER THE GULF STREAM
THROUGH THE DAY FOR NORTH WINDS 15-20 KNOTS AND STEEP WAVES UP TO 7
FEET.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY
     FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD
     COUNTY LINE OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD
     COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR COASTAL
     WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-WATERS
     FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO
     60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO
     SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

&&

$$

FORECASTS...LASCODY
IMPACT WX...ULRICH




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