Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 012342 AAA
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
642 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 00Z TAFS...MAIN WEATHER ELEMENT WILL BE PASSAGE OF A STRONG
COLD FRONT LATER TONIGHT ACROSS THE FCST AREA. EXPECT THE COLD FRONT
TO MOVE THRU KGUY AND KDHT AROUND 06Z TO 07Z...AND THEN KAMA AROUND
09Z TO 10Z THURSDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL RAMP UP BEHIND THIS BOUNDARY
FOR SEVERAL HOURS...THEN DIMINISH LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AT ALL
SITES. IT APPEARS MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS NEXT
STORM SYSTEM WILL REMAIN NORTH AND EAST OF THE TERMINAL SITES...SO
DID NOT INCLUDE IT FOR THIS FCST CYCLE. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR
TRENDS THIS EVENING.

ANDRADE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 220 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014/

DISCUSSION...
NO CHANGES OF SIGNIFICANCE HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE FORECAST.  LOW
THUNDERSTORM POPS HAVE BEEN RETAINED TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING AS SHARP MID-LEVEL TROF TRAVERSES THE AREA.

ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO ENTER NORTHWEST PART OF FORECAST
AREA AROUND MIDNIGHT...AND TO QUICKLY PASS THROUGH THE TEXAS AND
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES BY SUNRISE.  WINDS WILL INCREASE NOTABLY WITH
FRONTAL PASSAGE...BUT DO NOT EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS TO BE ABOVE 35
MPH.  NORTH NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PREVAIL ON THURSDAY...GRADUALLY
DIMINISHING DURING THE AFTERNOON.

ONSET OF DRY LOWER TROPOSPHERIC FLOW LEAD US TO EXPECT NO
PRECIPITATION THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY.  REINFORCING COLD
FRONT EARLY FRIDAY WILL LEAD TO A SECOND DAY OF BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES.

MILD DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY AS
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES...WITH WARMER CONDTIONS BEGINNING
TUESDAY AS FLOW TRANSITIONS TO ZONAL AND THEN SOUTHWEST.  03

COCKRELL

FIRE WEATHER...
NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY DUE TO EITHER 20-FOOT WINDS REMAINING BELOW 15 MPH AND/OR
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES REMAINING ABOVE 20 PERCENT.  03

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$






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