Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 202332
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
532 PM CST Mon Nov 20 2017

.AVIATION...
00Z Issuance...All sites look to remain VFR through the period.
Winds will turn northerly between 04 and 08Z and then pickup in
speed around 16Z with gusts up to 30-35kts. Clouds will begin to
lower a bit but don`t look to drop below 10k ft.

Beat

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 235 PM CST Mon Nov 20 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Uneventful weather is still forecast through Monday.  No
precipitation is expected.  No excessive wind events are
expected.

Models and ensembles exhibiting good agreement through Thursday,
as Great Basin mid-level ridge amplifies through Wednesday, and
then begins dampening and moving east.  Dry northwest flow aloft
expected to prevail through Thursday.  Small timing differences
then emerge regarding Vancouver shortwave trof and its effect on
aforementioned ridge.  All solutions suggest that mainly
northwest dry flow will continue through the end of the forecast.
Gulf remains closed.  All pops zero.

Cold front arrives in northwestern part of Combined Texas and
Oklahoma Panhandles before midnight this evening, and then passes
rest of forecast area before sunrise.  North-northwest winds
expected to increase mid-morning through early afternoon on
Tuesday, and to diminish during the late afternoon as they trend
to northeast.  In spite of brisk winds and clouds, highs on
Tuesday are expected to remain on the high side of climo.

In fact, every day through Monday is expected to reach high
temperatures above normal.

Southwest winds resume on Wednesday with highs in the 60s.
Thanksgiving Day looks mild with light winds and highs in the 70s.
Further warming expected for Friday ahead of another cold front.
Saturday and Sunday expected to be cooler, but still 10 to 15
degrees Fahrenheit above climo.  Mild and warmer on Monday.  03

Cockrell

FIRE WEATHER...
No critical fire weather conditions are expected through Monday.
No elevated fire weather conditions are expected through Thursday
as relative humidity values are expected to remain above 20
percent.  Elevated fire weather conditions may develop on Friday
across the southwest and southern Texas Panhandle as dry southwest
winds develop.  No elevated fire weather conditions are expected
Saturday through Monday as relative humidity values are expected
to remain above 20 percent.  03

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

16/16



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