Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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FXUS62 KMFL 230822
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
422 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND KEEPING MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS
SOUTH FLORIDA.

VISIBILITY MAY BE RESTRICTED EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF
ALLIGATOR ALLEY DUE TO SMOKE FROM A WILDFIRE NEAR THE EASTERN
PORTION OF THE HENDRY/COLLIER COUNTY LINE. OTHERWISE...DRY WEATHER
AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE DAY ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA. A WEAK FRONT IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH
FROM THE NORTH BUT SHOULD WASH OUT ACROSS THE CENTRAL FLORIDA
PENINSULA. AS A RESULT...WINDS SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH THE DAY.

DRY HIGH PRESSURE AND LIGHT WINDS WILL THEN PREVAIL THURSDAY THROUGH
THE WEEKEND WITH TEMPERATURES CREEPING BACK UP INTO THE MID TO UPPER
80S ACROSS THE COASTAL AREAS AND THE LOW 90S FOR THE INTERIOR.

BY MONDAY INTO TUESDAY A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED H5 SHORTWAVE AND
ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW ARE EXPECTED TO PUSH EAST ACROSS THE GREAT
PLAINS AND INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. AS IT DOES...A COLD FRONT WILL
BEGIN MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO RESULTING IN INCREASING
SOUTHEAST FLOW ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA. AS THE FRONT GETS
CLOSER...CHANCES FOR SHOWERS WILL ALSO RETURN TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY. CURRENTLY THE ECMWF IS ABOUT 12 HOURS SLOWER THAN THE GFS
WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE AND STALLS THE FRONT ALONG THE KEYS.

&&

.AVIATION...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE INTO NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA
TODAY AND STALL. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER SOUTH
FLORIDA...AND VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD. LIGHT WESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT
AND THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS ON WEDNESDAY. EAST COAST SEA BREEZE
IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP BETWEEN 17-19Z...WITH SE WINDS AROUND 10
KNOTS. AT KAPF...GULF COAST SEA BREEZE IS FORECAST TO PUSH INLAND
IN THE AFTERNOON...WITH WESTERLY WINDS INCREASING TO AROUND 12
KNOTS. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET AT THE TAF
SITES.

&&

.MARINE...
THE NORTHEASTERLY SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE THROUGH THE DAY
TODAY ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS. OFFSHORE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
BECOME LIGHT LATER TODAY ALLOWING SEAS TO DECREASE TO AROUND 2 TO
3 FEET. HIGH PRESSURE WITH WINDS BELOW 15 KNOTS IS EXPECTED TO
DOMINATE INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  83  68  85  71 /   0  10  10  10
FORT LAUDERDALE  83  71  85  74 /   0  10  10  10
MIAMI            84  70  86  73 /   0  10  10  10
NAPLES           81  66  83  67 /   0  10  10  10

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...10/CD
LONG TERM....10/CD
AVIATION...84/AK


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