Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN

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FXUS63 KDLH 221146 AAA
AFDDLH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
646 AM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 646 AM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

UPDATED FOR THE NEW 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 330 AM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

AT 330 AM...IT WAS QUIET ACROSS THE NORTHLAND. SKIES WERE CLEAR
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A BATCH OF CLOUDS STRETCHING FROM LAKE AND
COOK COUNTIES...SOUTHEASTWARD INTO OUR EASTERN WI COUNTIES.
TEMPS WERE COOLEST OVER NW WI...BUT CLOUDS WERE SPREADING INTO
THAT AREA. TEMPS RANGED FROM 36 AT KPBH BUT WERE STILL IN THE 40S
IN NE MN. PATCHY FOG HAD ALSO DEVELOPED THIS MORNING.

A QUIET COUPLE DAYS ARE IN STORE FOR TODAY AND TUESDAY. THE MAIN
FOCUS WILL BE HIGH TEMPERATURES. SHOULD BE PLENTY OF SUNSHINE
TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES GENERALLY REACHING
THE LOWER 70S ON BOTH DAYS. PATCHY FOG WILL CONTINUE FOR A SHORT
TIME THIS MORNING BUT WILL QUICKLY BURN OFF UNDER FULL SUNSHINE.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 330 AM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

THE NORTHLAND CAN LOOK FORWARD TO A RELATIVELY WARM STRETCH OF
WEATHER THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
EASTERN UNITED SATES AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE NORTHLAND WILL
PROMOTE THE RELATIVELY WARM AND SUNNY WEATHER. THE EXCEPTION TO THE
DRY WEATHER WILL BE WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. AN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE NORTH CENTRAL UNITED STATES AND COULD
DEVELOP SOME SHOWERS OVER THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN FORECAST AREA.

THE WARMEST WEATHER WILL LIKELY BE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WHEN
TEMPERATURES CLIMB TO THE LOW TO MID 70S OVER MUCH OF THE
NORTHLAND...ABOUT 10 TO 12 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE INDICATING A COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY
SAG SOUTH THROUGH CENTRAL CANADA OVER THE WEEKEND. IT COULD REACH
THE MINNESOTA BORDER BY NEXT MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 646 AM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

THERE WAS SOME MORNING FOG AND MIST CAUSING LIFR/IFR CONDITIONS
ACROSS PARTS OF NE MINNESOTA AND NW WISCONSIN EARLY THIS MORNING.
ONCE THE FOG BURNS OFF...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REST
OF TODAY. THERE WILL BE WESTERLY WINDS OF ABOUT 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DLH  69  47  71  51 /   0   0   0   0
INL  72  44  73  51 /   0   0   0   0
BRD  71  45  72  54 /   0   0   0  20
HYR  68  43  70  51 /   0   0   0   0
ASX  68  46  70  50 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
LS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DAP
LONG TERM...GROCHOCINSKI
AVIATION...GROCHOCINSKI






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