Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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FXUS65 KGJT 271045
AFDGJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
345 AM MST THU NOV 27 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 342 AM MST THU NOV 27 2014

A DECK OF HIGH CLOUDS CURRENTLY SEEN ON IR AND WV SATELLITE OVER
IDAHO AND NEVADA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO NORTHWEST COLORADO
AROUND NOON TODAY...BUT WILL MOVE OUT OF THE FORECAST AREA BY
THIS EVENING. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 36
HOURS...BUT WINDS AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED WITH
THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE JET STREAM CLIPPING NORTHERN UTAH AND
COLORADO TODAY AND TOMORROW. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST
THROUGH FRIDAY ALLOWING MAX TEMPERATURES TO REACH 5 TO 10 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL AT MANY PLACES TODAY AND FRIDAY. CLEAR SKIES WILL
PREVAIL ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ON FRIDAY.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 342 AM MST THU NOV 27 2014

DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY WITH WSW FLOW
ALOFT. SHRTWV ENERGY DROPPING SOUTHEAST OFF THE PACIFIC COAST WILL
LIKELY CLIP OUR NORTHERN ZONES SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT...
BRINGING AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS...POSSIBLY
IMPACTING TRAVEL AT THE END OF THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND FROM VAIL
PASS NORTHWARD TO STEAMBOAT SPRINGS. OTHERWISE THE DRY CONDITIONS
HOLD THROUGH TUESDAY BEFORE WE START TO SEE THE INFLUENCES OF A
STRONGER PACIFIC SYSTEM THAT DIGS ALONG THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
COAST. THIS SYSTEM TAPS SUBTROPICAL FETCH OF MOISTURE AND DRIVES
WARMER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING WITH SHOWERS MOVING IN OVERNIGHT AND BECOMING MORE
WIDESPREAD ON WEDNESDAY PER THE MORE CONSISTENT GFS SOLUTION.
CONFIDENCE IN EURO HAS DROPPED A BIT AS IT CONTINUES TO ADJUST
THE PATTERN SHOWING MORE RIDGING ALONG THE WEST COAST...KEEPING
THE LOW OFFSHORE WITH NORTHERN STREAM ENERGY SLIDING OVER US. AS
HAS BEEN THE CASE...WILL MAINTAIN LOW CHANCE POPS AS WE WILL SEE
SOME IMPACT TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...JUST HOW MUCH OF AN
IMPACT IS STILL IN QUESTION. MILD LATE NOVEMBER TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN WITH TEMPS RUNNING 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 342 AM MST THU NOV 27 2014

DRY WEST NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BE IN PLACE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH VFR
CONDITIONS PERSISTING. EXPECT GUSTY WINDS TO 40+ KTS NEAR
MOUNTAIN TOP LEVELS ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70 THROUGH THE
PERIOD.

&&

.GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CO...NONE.
UT...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JAM
LONG TERM...JDC
AVIATION...JDC



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