Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FXUS64 KMOB 260427 AAC
AFDMOB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1126 PM CDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.AVIATION [26.06Z TAF ISSUANCE]...ONLY A FEW SHRA/TSRA REMAIN FROM
LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING CONVECTION AND THESE HAVE DROPPED SOUTH
INTO THE MARINE AREA. RESIDUAL CLOUD COVER IS FORECAST AT MID TO
HIGH LEVELS OVERNIGHT. MORE SCATTERED TSRA POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY.
LIGHT WIND TONIGHT WITH A PREVAILING SOUTHWEST WIND OF 5 TO 10 KNOTS
FORECAST DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. /10

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 942 PM CDT FRI JUL 25 2014/

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...WEATHER MAPS THIS EVENING SHOWS A STALLED
SURFACE FRONT FROM OFF THE COAST OF THE CAROLINAS TO ACROSS SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI...THEN DRAPED BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT OVER ARKANSAS
AND MISSOURI. SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY...THERE ARE POCKETS OF COLD CLOUD
TOPS=>SHOWERS/STORMS NOW MOSTLY CONFINED TO THE COASTAL ZONES. THIS
WEATHER IS OCCURRING WITHIN A MID LEVEL SHEAR ZONE EXTENDING FROM THE
SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHERN LOUISIANA WHERE HIGH LEVEL TROF AXIS EXTENDS
FROM THE APPALACHIANS TO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST. A WEAKNESS IN THE
FLOW EXTENDS FURTHER WEST OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA. DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE IS QUITE PLENTIFUL ACROSS THE GULF COAST WITH LATEST 26.00Z
SOUNDINGS SHOWING PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AROUND 2 INCHES.

ISOLATED SHOWERS/STORMS ARE FORECAST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
EVENING...HIGHLIGHTED SOUTH OF THE FRONTAL ZONE FROM THE SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF INTERIOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...AND POINTS EAST TO THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THIS MATCHES WHAT FORECASTERS SEE IN THE
LATEST RADAR DATA/TRENDS. STORMS HAVE BEEN BEHAVED THIS EVENING AS
THEY DROP SLOWLY SOUTHWARD WITH THE STRONGER WIND GUSTS RANGING FROM
18 TO 28 KNOTS. A FEW MINOR TWEAKS TO TEMPERATURES/DEWPOINTS THIS
EVENING GIVEN LATEST OBSERVATIONS. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL REMAIN
UNCHANGED. /10

TONIGHT`S LOWS WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S FOR MOST
AREAS NORTH OF THE I-10 CORRIDOR AND THE MID TO UPPER 70S CLOSER TO
THE COAST. 32/EE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      74  91  75  92  76 /  20  30  20  20  10
PENSACOLA   76  91  78  92  78 /  20  30  20  20  10
DESTIN      78  87  79  90  79 /  20  30  20  20  10
EVERGREEN   71  93  73  95  75 /  20  30  10  10  10
WAYNESBORO  69  94  73  95  73 /  10  10  10  10  10
CAMDEN      70  93  73  95  75 /  10  20  10  10  10
CRESTVIEW   73  94  73  95  75 /  20  40  20  10  10

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$










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