Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 020834
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Tulsa OK
334 AM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Upper system centered to the north pushing its way through the plains
this morning. Will keep pops confined to the east and southeast through the
morning...with slightly higher chances across far southeast Oklahoma for
locations near the Red River. Once this feature clears the area...ridging
out to west will slowly translate to central United States...while
at the same time one low pressure system organizes across the east
and one to the west. This will result in a period of settled weather
across the plains...one that will continue for the week and will
offer afternoon temperatures close to climatological averages. By
the latter half of this upcoming weekend...the upper pattern
starts to become more progressive...and the upper flow will
transition to more southwesterly as the upper low to the west
approaches. Shower and thunderstorm chances will begin to increase
at that time...however moisture return may come into
question...which would impact areal coverage of rain/thunder...along
with severe potential.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   64  45  71  50 /  10   0   0   0
FSM   68  48  72  50 /  20   0   0   0
MLC   67  44  72  50 /  10   0   0   0
BVO   64  41  72  46 /  10   0   0   0
FYV   62  38  67  43 /  20   0   0   0
BYV   62  42  66  48 /  20   0   0   0
MKO   66  45  71  48 /  10   0   0   0
MIO   61  41  72  48 /  20   0   0   0
F10   65  46  72  51 /  10   0   0   0
HHW   70  48  72  50 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....23


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