Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FXUS64 KLZK 092319 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
519 PM CST TUE FEB 9 2016

.DISCUSSION...

UPDATED TO INCLUDE THE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW...

&&

.AVIATION...

THE BREEZY CONDITIONS LATE THIS AFTERNOON WILL GRADUALLY LESSEN
OVERNIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS SW AR. WINDS WILL BECOME
VARIABLE...THEN SWITCH TO THE WEST AND SW FOR WED AFTERNOON. VFR
CONDITIONS WILL BE SEEN THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 301 PM CST TUE FEB 9 2016/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT

BREEZY CONDITIONS AND LOW RH VALUES HAVE BEEN THE MAIN WEATHER FOCUS
FOR TODAY. WINDS HAVE BEEN SLIGHTLY LOWER TODAY THAN WHAT WAS SEEN
YESTERDAY WITH MORE WIDESPREAD RH VALUES IN THE LOWER 20 PERCENT
RANGE.

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 00Z...WHEN WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO DIE DOWN. BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...WINDS WILL BE OUT OF
THE WEST AND BE IN THE MORE REASONABLE 5 TO 10 KT RANGE ACROSS THE
STATE WITH WINDS EVENTUALLY SHIFTING AND BECOMING OUT OF THE SW BY
THE AFTERNOON.

WITH CLEAR AND NEARLY CALM CONDITIONS FORECAST OVERNIGHT...OVERNIGHT
LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE A BIT COOLER THAN WHAT WAS SEEN THIS
MORNING...HOWEVER TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND NICELY ON WEDNESDAY WITH
HIGHS RANGING FROM THE LOWER 40S TO UPPER 50S.

LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SEASONAL TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE FORECAST THURSDAY/FRIDAY BEFORE A
COLD FRONT GOES THROUGH FROM THE NORTH. MOISTURE WILL BE LACKING
AS THE FRONT PASSES...WITH NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED.

ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW FOR THE FIRST PART OF THE
WEEKEND...AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE NOTED. READINGS WILL
BE THE MOST SUBPAR IN THE NORTHEAST HALF OF THE STATE ON SATURDAY.

THE HIGH WILL BEGIN DEPARTING ON SUNDAY. THIS WILL HAPPEN AS A STORM
SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THERE COULD BE A LIGHT WINTRY
MIX SUNDAY MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A CHANCE OF RAIN. ON THE BACK SIDE
OF THE SYSTEM...SOME RAIN COULD REMAIN INTO SUNDAY EVENING...WITH
FEW SNOWFLAKES POSSIBLE AS PRECIPITATION ENDS.

HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK...THERE APPEARS TO BE A WARMING TREND...
WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     20  42  25  44 /   0  10   0   0
CAMDEN AR         26  54  41  64 /   0   0   0   0
HARRISON AR       18  47  28  45 /   0   0   0   0
HOT SPRINGS AR    26  52  37  57 /   0   0   0   0
LITTLE ROCK   AR  25  48  32  52 /   0   0   0   0
MONTICELLO AR     25  50  38  60 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNT IDA AR      23  53  38  59 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  18  43  26  44 /   0   0   0   0
NEWPORT AR        21  41  26  42 /   0  10   0   0
PINE BLUFF AR     25  49  35  55 /   0   0   0   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   22  49  30  53 /   0   0   0   0
SEARCY AR         20  44  25  47 /   0   0   0   0
STUTTGART AR      24  45  32  50 /   0   0   0   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR ARKANSAS-
BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-CONWAY-
DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-
LONOKE-MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-
POPE-PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-
WHITE-WOODRUFF-YELL.


RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR BOONE-BRADLEY-
CALHOUN-CLARK-CONWAY-DALLAS-FAULKNER-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
JOHNSON-LOGAN-MARION-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-
POPE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-VAN BUREN-YELL.

&&

$$


AVIATION...62


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