Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 301944
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
244 PM CDT FRI SEP 30 2016

.SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Sunday
Upper low over the Ohio Valley will keep some low stratocu over us
during the next 24 hours before lifting out on Saturday. Surface
high pressure will move across by late Saturday and into Sunday,
with winds becoming more southerly. This will allow temperatures
to warm back into the 80s in most areas. Otherwise...winds will be
light and variable at night time...with patchy fog in some valley
areas.
&&

.LONG TERM...Sunday Night Through Friday
Not a lot of changes to the previous thinking in terms of the
extended term. Some upper level ridging will start to take place on
Monday, which will allow daily max temperatures to start creeping
back up into the 80`s, and it`s even possible a few 90 degree
readings could be seen in a few select places across the south by
Wednesday afternoon.

The next upper level trof will start to impact the NWRN portions of
the area on Wednesday, along with a surface cold front. Keeping POPs
in the 30 to 40 pct range, although as this event gets closer these
may get raised as confidence in the timing increases.

POPs will overspread the entire CWA on Thursday as the front starts
to advance through the area. Will probably see a significant
cool down across the NW on Thursday, followed by the rest of the
area on Friday...which should be dry in the wake of the frontal
passage.
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
No significant fire weather issues are expected through the
period. Minimum humidity should stay near or above the 40th
percentile. The next chance for rain will be mid to late week next
week.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     54  78  54  81 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         53  83  55  84 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       51  75  52  77 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    54  81  56  82 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  59  82  59  84 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     56  83  59  85 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      51  79  53  81 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  53  76  53  79 /   0   0  10   0
Newport AR        55  79  56  82 /   0  10   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     56  81  57  84 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   54  80  54  83 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         55  80  56  83 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      56  81  58  83 /   0   0   0   0
&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

$$

Short Term...57 / Long Term...53



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