Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FXUS63 KDDC 061100
AFDDDC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
500 AM CST FRI MAR 6 2015

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 102 AM CST FRI MAR 6 2015

A QUIET WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TODAY THROUGH TOMORROW WITH
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SOUTHEAST OF THE
AREA. THIS WILL LEAD TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES THROUGH TOMORROW WITH
WINDS GENERALLY FROM A WESTERLY DIRECTION. THESE DOWNSLOPING WINDS
WILL LEAD TO A SIGNIFICANT WARM UP TODAY WITH HIGHS REACHING INTO
THE LOWER 60S THIS AFTERNOON. LOWS OVERNIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO DIP
INTO THE UPPER 20S.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 312 AM CST FRI MAR 6 2015

MEDIUM RANGE MODELS INDICATE A WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT PREVAILING ACROSS
THE WESTERN HIGH PLAINS THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINS SETTLED ACROSS THE CALIFORNIA COAST. AS A MUCH
DRIER AIR MASS REMAINS LOCKED IN ACROSS THE WESTERN HIGH PLAINS DUE
TO A GENERAL DOWNSLOPE FLOW, PRECIP CHANCES WILL REMAIN ABSENT
ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK. A WARMING
TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY EVEN AS A WEAK TROUGH MIGRATES
ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS. THE GFS/ECMWF SHOW H85 TEMPERATURES WELL
ABOVE 5C WITH NEAR 10C OUT NEAR THE COLORADO BORDER. UNDER MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES, HIGHS CAN BE EXPECTED GENERALLY UP INTO THE UPPER
50S(F) TO THE LOWER 60S(F). A BREAK IN THE WARMING TREND IS LIKELY
SUNDAY AS A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHES SOUTHEASTWARD INTO WESTERN
KANSAS. STILL, EXPECT HIGHS BACK UP INTO THE UPPER 50S(F) AND LOWER
60S(F) SUNDAY AFTERNOON. SIMILAR HIGHS CAN BE EXPECTED MONDAY AS
WELL WITH LITTLE CHANGE TO THE OVERALL AIR MASS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 500 AM CST FRI MAR 6 2015

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH LATE THIS
EVENING. WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS OF 5 TO 15KT WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH TONIGHT AS A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH MOVES SLOWLY EAST ACROSS
WESTERN KANSAS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  64  29  62  31 /   0   0   0   0
GCK  61  26  60  28 /   0   0   0   0
EHA  60  28  62  30 /   0   0   0   0
LBL  62  26  62  30 /   0   0   0   0
HYS  64  29  63  29 /   0   0   0   0
P28  62  27  62  31 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...HOVORKA_42
LONG TERM...JJOHNSON
AVIATION...JJOHNSON


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