Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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729
FXUS64 KHGX 111737
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1137 AM CST THU FEB 11 2016

.AVIATION...
OTHER THAN SOME GUSTY SW WINDS...NO REAL CONCERNS THRU THE LATE
EVENING HOURS W/ VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING. TIME PERIOD FROM 9-15Z
(3AM- 9AM CST) BECOMES QUITE TRICKY. ALMOST ALL AVAILABLE GUIDANCE
DEVELOPS FOG ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF SE TX...WITH POTENTIAL FOR
SOME DENSE FOG POSSIBLE. DIGGING INTO THE DATA A LITTLE BIT
MORE...MOST SHOW SFC TEMP/DEWPOINT SPREADS DON`T REALLY GO BELOW
2-5F AND SW FLOW 10-25KT JUST ABOVE THE SFC TO 2000FT SUGGESTS AT
LEAST SOME PARTIAL MIXING. SUSPECT MOST AREAS WILL PROBABLY SEE
SOME SHALLOW GROUND FOG LIKE SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE REGION SAW LAST
NIGHT. TWEAKED FCST VISBY`S DOWN FROM THE 12Z PACKAGE...BUT NOT
QUITE READY TO GO AS PESSIMISTIC AS CURRENT GUIDANCE SUGGESTS JUST
YET. TRANSITION BACK TO VFR CONDITIONS AFTER 15-16Z FRI. 47

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 953 AM CST THU FEB 11 2016/
A SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE FLOW HAS SET UP OVER THE FORECAST AREA
UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES THIS MORNING. AM EXPECTING TEMPERATURES
TO REACH INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S LATER THIS AFTERNOON. OTHER
THAN A FEW TWEAKS TO THE TEMPERATURES...THE CURRENT FORECAST IS ON
TRACK. 40

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      79  52  76  50  69 /   0   0   0   0  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              79  55  78  53  70 /   0   0   0   0  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            68  59  70  57  65 /   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP
     CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO
     FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$



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