Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FXUS62 KJAX 311248
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
848 AM EDT TUE MAY 31 2016

.Update...Weak surface trough helping initiate widely scattered
showers se GA this morning. Model guidance suggests scattered
afternoon/evening activity with sea breezes and trough...and will
make minor adjustments to hourly pop grids to account for latest
expected evolution. 12z soundings only moderately moist with
moderate PWAT values (1.3-1.5)...and upper ridging over the
area...will limit POP values to 30 pct based on expected coverage.

Hot day today with mid 90s well inland...near 90 near the coast.

&&

.Aviation...Generally VFR conditions expected...have VCTS in
afternoon for widely scattered afternoon/early evening TSRA.

&&

.Marine...No changes planned in next cwf product issuance.
West winds will become SE along the coast in the afternoon with
the sea breeze. Southerly flow will prevail through the upcoming
week as troughing persists north of the area and surface high
pressure dominates across the Florida peninsula.

Rip Currents: Low risk today and Wed.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  93  70  93  70 /  30  30  40  20
SSI  88  72  88  72 /  20  20  20  20
JAX  93  72  92  72 /  30  30  30  20
SGJ  89  72  88  73 /  20  20  20  20
GNV  93  69  91  70 /  30  30  40  20
OCF  91  70  92  71 /  30  30  40  20

&&

.JAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

Wolf/Walker



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