Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Sacramento, CA
FXUS66 KSTO 071136
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
336 AM PST Fri Mar 7 2014
Dry and mild conditions through Saturday. A disturbance Sunday
into Monday will bring another chance of precipitation to the
area. Dry and mild conditions return for Tuesday and Wednesday.
A ridge of high will build over the region the next couple to days
to bring dry and mild conditions to the interior. Temperatures
will mainly warm into the lower 70s the next couple of days for
the valley to the 50s for the mountains. Light northerly winds on
Friday for the valley will shift upvalley for Saturday ahead of
the next weather system.
The next weather system may start to bring some precipitation to
the northern coastal range by late Saturday evening before
spreading rain further east and south across the region late
Saturday night and Sunday. This will be another warm event so snow
levels will be high and above pass levels for I-80 and US-50.
.Extended Discussion (Tuesday through Friday)
Frontal system forecast to move through NORCAL earlier in the week
will have shifted well east of the forecast area by early Tuesday.
May see a few morning showers lingering over the Sierra early in
the day as the upper trough shifts into the Great Basin. By mid
day Tuesday, upper ridge is forecast to take control with warm and
dry conditions expected through the middle part of next week.
Daytime highs Tuesday through Thursday are forecast to come in
several degrees above normal. Breezy north winds can be expected
Tuesday and Wednesday as surface high pressure makes its way
through the Pacific Northwest.
Extended models having some difficulty towards the end of the
extended period both in model to model and run to run consistency.
Extended models appear to be latching on to some sort of
disturbance moving into the west coast ridge over the Pacific
Northwest around Friday. Position...strength and timing have
changed with each run. With some sort of system looking more
likely...have included slight threat of showers over northern
zones on Friday. Main impact for most areas will be a slight cool
down but daytime highs still likely to remain at least a little
Upper ridge over west coast for VFR conditions all TAF sites next 24
hours. North to east winds generally below 15 knots.