Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Sacramento, CA

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FXUS66 KSTO 262204

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Sacramento CA
204 PM PST THU NOV 26 2015

Cool but mainly dry conditions into the weekend. Uncertainty in
the forecast next week with some models showing unsettled weather
and others not. Check back in for details.


Quiet weather day with clear skies across most of the area. Clouds
banked along the eastern side of the Sierra crest in closer
proximity to upper level low. Nothing much in the way of showers
near the crest today and expect most activity to remain on the
eastern side. Breezy northerly flow has developed across the
western side of the Sac Valley from about Oroville up to Redding
with gusts in the 20-30 mph range. This may continue into Friday.

Otherwise dry weather will prevail through the weekend outside a
few snow showers near the Sierra crest (mainly south of Lake
Tahoe) from time to time due to wrap-around moisture from
lingering upper level low over the Great Basin. Cooler air will
continue to filter into the area with temperatures a few degrees
below normal. Overnight lows will hover near the freezing mark in
the Valley which may lead to areas of frost, especially in
outlying areas.



The ECMWF and GFS are at odds again in terms of the extended
forecast. Right now, it looks good that Monday will be dry as our
region sits between 2 low pressure systems under high pressure
ridging. The low over the Eastern Pacific will move into the west
coast Tuesday morning, but here is the key difference: the EC has
the low moving into Central/Southern CA while the GFS has it
moving into NorCal. The GFS continues the chances for
precipitation through the rest of the week as storm waves
continuously stream into NorCal. The EC keeps NorCal dry until
Thursday when both the EC and GFS show a stronger trough pushing
into NorCal. Have leaned more towards the GFS to coordinate with
neighboring offices. JBB


Strong northerly winds continue to impact the KRDD-KRBL vicnity
with breezy north winds impacting between KCIC down to KMYV
through much of this evening. For the Sac Metro region, TAF sites
are northerly generally at 12 kts or less. Breezy northerly winds
will continue into Friday. JBB


.STO Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


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