Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 240920
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
320 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Current round of rain and isolated thunder diminishing this
morning across eastern OK and northwest AR. Next round associated
with the main upper wave developing across portions of central
Texas, and will move into the forecast area later this morning.
The warm sector will push into southeast Oklahoma and west central
Arkansas, and will give these locations the highest potential for
a few severe storms along and just ahead of the pacific cold
front. Further north, elevated instability supports at least
isolated to scattered thunder, but severe potential outside of the
warm sector appears limited. The front will sweep through the
entire area by late afternoon, so will not split hairs with the
current flood watch and keep the current expiration time of 6 pm.
Drier air finally moves behind the boundary and will mark the
beginning of several days with settled conditions and mild
afternoon temperatures. Shower and thunderstorm chances will begin
to increase towards the middle of next week as another system
approaches at that time. Upper pattern to remain west
southwesterly through the week, which will result in mild daytime
temperatures to continue for the remainder of the forecast cycle.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   55  30  61  34 /  80  10   0   0
FSM   65  35  63  37 / 100  10   0   0
MLC   63  32  64  33 / 100  10   0   0
BVO   52  26  60  26 /  70  10   0   0
FYV   59  31  60  30 / 100  10   0   0
BYV   58  32  59  34 /  90  10   0   0
MKO   58  30  63  34 /  90  10   0   0
MIO   53  29  59  29 /  70  10   0   0
F10   57  30  63  35 /  80  10   0   0
HHW   67  37  64  37 / 100  10   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flood Watch through this afternoon for OKZ049-053-058-062-063-
     065>076.

AR...Flood Watch through this afternoon for ARZ001-002-010-011-019-
     020-029.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....23



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